Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 8.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.8%
Signal Watch
Score 30
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.5K Liquidity 26.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.6
Momentum0.3
Urgency49.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

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