Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 30.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 30.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 30.5%
Signal Watch
Score 32
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.9K Liquidity 26.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.5
Momentum5.8
Urgency49.0
7d Move1.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 30.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

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