Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 94.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 94.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 26
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 909 Liquidity 12.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency42.3
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election? 30.0% · Probability Surge · score 64 Will Tim Cook say "Excited" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th? 79.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Tim Cook say "Tool" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th? 72.0% · Thin Market · score 51 Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? 45.0% · Probability Surge · score 50 FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen? 72.5% · Probability Fade · score 49