Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 92.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 92.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 28
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 978 Liquidity 8.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.9
Momentum5.8
Urgency42.4
7d Move-1.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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