Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 3.2% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 3.2%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 24/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 3.2%
Signal Watch
Score 24
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 56 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality24.4
Momentum4.1
Urgency60.7
7d Move0.7 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 3.2%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 24/100.

Same theme
Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election? 30.0% · Probability Surge · score 64 Will Tim Cook say "Excited" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th? 79.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Tim Cook say "Tool" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th? 72.0% · Thin Market · score 51 Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? 45.0% · Probability Surge · score 50 FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen? 72.5% · Probability Fade · score 49