Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 93.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
93.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
25
Freshness
now
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.4K
Liquidity 18.2K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality47.8
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 93.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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