Polymarket · Energy

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Energy expectations are rising at 6.1% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 6.1%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 47/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 6.1%
Signal Watch
Score 30
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.9K Liquidity 16.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.5
Momentum3.9
Urgency42.9
7d Move0.3 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 6.1%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 47/100.

Same theme
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 55.6% · Probability Surge · score 73 Will Trump say "Low Energy" this week? 5.4% · Probability Fade · score 57 Iran closes its airspace by July 31? 66.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Iran closes its airspace by July 15? 84.0% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? 18.1% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? 59.0% · Probability Fade · score 47