Polymarket · Geopolitics

Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)

Geopolitics expectations are rising at 26.1% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 26.1%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 42/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 26.1%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.6K Liquidity 2.5K Spread 0.5 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality42.2
Momentum7.5
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.2 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 26.1%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 42/100.

Same theme
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? 36.5% · Probability Fade · score 63 Israel closes its airspace by June 15? 21.5% · Probability Surge · score 58 Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 100.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 91.0% · Probability Surge · score 52 Spread: Denmark (-1.5) 45.0% · Probability Surge · score 50 Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? 8.5% · Probability Fade · score 46