Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 88.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 88.5%. 24h move -3.5 pts. 7d move -3.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
88.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
36
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.6K
Liquidity 8.8K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality46.3
Momentum20.3
Urgency42.5
7d Move-3.5 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 88.5%. 24h move -3.5 pts. 7d move -3.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Same theme