Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 4.5% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 4.5%. 24h move -4.0 pts. 7d move -4.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.
Probability
4.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
37
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 92.0K
Liquidity 27.1K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality54.1
Momentum23.2
Urgency25.0
7d Move-4.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 4.5%. 24h move -4.0 pts. 7d move -4.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.
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