Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 5.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 5.4%. 24h move +0.9 pts. 7d move +0.9 pts. Data quality 44/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 5.4%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 3.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality43.9
Momentum7.6
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.9 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 5.4%. 24h move +0.9 pts. 7d move +0.9 pts. Data quality 44/100.

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