Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 92.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 92.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 28
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 985 Liquidity 7.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.5
Momentum5.9
Urgency42.8
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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