Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 97.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 97.6%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
97.6%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
24
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.0K
Liquidity 14.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality47.2
Momentum7.7
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.7 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 97.6%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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