Polymarket · Economy

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?

Economy expectations are falling at 6.5% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is steady at 6.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 27/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 6.5%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 92 Liquidity 236 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality27.3
Momentum17.8
Urgency41.7
7d Move-1.0 pts

Economy expectation is steady at 6.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 27/100.

Same theme
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? 36.5% · Probability Surge · score 37 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%? 17.5% · Watch · score 26 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? 0.1% · Watch · score 24