Economic expectation monitor
4 active Economy markets are being monitored. Highest-ranked read: Watch at 0.0% in Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?.
Growth, recession, employment, consumer, housing, and demand-side expectations that influence broad market structure.
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
Highest Probability Economy 20.5%Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Best Data Quality Polymarket 54/100Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
Largest Move Watch +0.1 ptsWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?
Score and probability history
Quality vs probability
Top expectation moves in Economy
Highest priority Economy markets
Economy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 4.2%. 24h move +0.1 pts. 7d move +0.1 pts. Data quality 37/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 20.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 36/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 20.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 22/100.