Economic expectation monitor
9 active Economy markets are being monitored. Highest-ranked read: Probability Fade at 44.4% in Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?.
Growth, recession, employment, consumer, housing, and demand-side expectations that influence broad market structure.
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?
Highest Probability Economy 71.0%Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
Best Data Quality Polymarket 54/100Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
Largest Move Probability Fade -7.0 ptsWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?
Score and probability history
Quality vs probability
Top expectation moves in Economy
Highest priority Economy markets
Economy expectation is falling at 44.4%. 24h move -7.0 pts. 7d move +2.2 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Economy expectation is falling at 3.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Economy expectation is rising at 39.5%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move +10.0 pts. Data quality 43/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Economy expectation is falling at 8.0%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 35/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Economy expectation is steady at 7.4%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +4.0 pts. Data quality 43/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 71.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 45/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 1.8%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 36/100.
Economy expectation is steady at 0.2%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.