Polymarket · Economy

Will world GDP growth be 3.7%+ in 2026?

Economy expectations are falling at 1.7% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is steady at 1.7%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 1.7%
Signal Watch
Score 21
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 959 Liquidity 1.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.2
Momentum2.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.9 pts

Economy expectation is steady at 1.7%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 37/100.

Same theme
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? 48.9% · Probability Surge · score 49 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? 46.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%? 3.5% · Probability Fade · score 40 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? 7.7% · Watch · score 31 Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? 7.0% · Watch · score 26 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? 71.0% · Watch · score 24