Polymarket · Economy

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy expectations are rising at 7.0% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is steady at 7.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +3.6 pts. Data quality 44/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.0%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 2.9K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality43.7
Momentum6.7
Urgency25.0
7d Move3.6 pts

Economy expectation is steady at 7.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +3.6 pts. Data quality 44/100.

Same theme
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? 48.9% · Probability Surge · score 49 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? 46.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%? 3.5% · Probability Fade · score 40 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? 7.7% · Watch · score 31 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? 71.0% · Watch · score 24 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? 0.1% · Watch · score 24