The Activity fan is narrow or crossing. Prior context distinguishes balance after decline from upper balance after advance.
Experimental Sharemaestro model · Activity Lines · Trend gate · Confirmation
Trend Architecture
Sharemaestro's point-in-time map of balance, rotation, expansion and contraction across eligible US stocks and ETFs. Direction comes from the Activity Line structure; energy, maturity and confirmation explain where that structure sits in its lifecycle.
The fast pair gains the slow pair as price acceptance improves, before complete positive alignment is established.
The Activity Lines are positively ordered above the Trend Line with rising slopes and expanding separation.
The positive structure survives, but fast-line velocity, fan width or price acceptance is deteriorating.
The fast pair loses the slow pair and price begins failing to hold the Activity fan.
The Activity Lines are bearishly ordered below the Trend Line with negative slopes and downside acceptance.
US stocks and ETFs
Comprehensive weekly architecture screener
Priority ranks structural evidence for research; it is not expected return.
| Market | Trend Architecture | Trend gate | Direction | Energy | Maturity | Activity fan | Fair Value | Mansfield RS | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPROOpen Lending Corp · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 96/100 | 69−100 to +100 | 83directional force | 44lifecycle risk | 3.12 ATRexpanding 0.47 | -27.3%4.32 · gap +37.0% | 46.6▲ 60.7 in 13w | 9wterminal |
| FORRForrester Research Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 81/100 | 89−100 to +100 | 94directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 2.21 ATRexpanding 0.94 | -22.3%14.81 · gap +39.5% | 34.8▲ 66.9 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| NSPInsperity Inc · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 86/100 | 77−100 to +100 | 89directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 2.36 ATRexpanding 0.82 | -24.3%66.88 · gap +36.8% | 23.7▲ 63.8 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| BOLDBoundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionRe-acceleratingClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 89/100 | 68−100 to +100 | 86directional force | 30lifecycle risk | 2.83 ATRexpanding 0.69 | -9.6%2.77 · gap +35.6% | 66.1▲ 49.8 in 13w | 5wterminal |
| TNETTriNet Group Inc · NYSE | Rotation UpEmerging rotationClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 80/100 | 87−100 to +100 | 94directional force | 30lifecycle risk | 2.44 ATRexpanding 1.26 | -19.7%82.01 · gap +28.6% | 12.8▲ 46.0 in 13w | 5wterminal |
| AGENAgenus Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 77/100 | 90−100 to +100 | 90directional force | 22lifecycle risk | 1.73 ATRexpanding 1.39 | -2.6%7.70 · gap +59.2% | 78.3▲ 94.1 in 13w | 1wterminal |
| CBZCBIZ Inc · NYSE | Rotation UpEmerging rotationClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 77/100 | 96−100 to +100 | 97directional force | 24lifecycle risk | 2.32 ATRexpanding 1.87 | -10.3%61.37 · gap +38.5% | 16.0▲ 61.0 in 13w | 2wterminal |
| NSITInsight Enterprises Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 91/100 | 78−100 to +100 | 62directional force | 45lifecycle risk | 1.78 ATRcontracting -0.16 | -11.5%145.72 · gap +39.4% | 21.5▲ 58.9 in 13w | 8wterminal |
| SMTISanara Medtech Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 79/100 | 93−100 to +100 | 87directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 1.65 ATRexpanding 0.83 | +12.9%30.00 · gap +49.9% | 28.0▲ 58.4 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| AVTRAvantor Inc · NYSE | Rotation UpEmerging rotationClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 78/100 | 95−100 to +100 | 94directional force | 32lifecycle risk | 2.09 ATRexpanding 0.86 | -20.9%17.43 · gap +35.6% | 17.2▲ 55.4 in 13w | 6wterminal |
| SCLStepan Company · NYSE | Upward ExpansionRe-acceleratingClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 78/100 | 86−100 to +100 | 77directional force | 25lifecycle risk | 1.33 ATRexpanding 0.49 | +0.5%63.85 · gap +23.5% | 16.8▲ 24.7 in 13w | 5wterminal |
| KMXCarMax Inc · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 87/100 | 69−100 to +100 | 74directional force | 32lifecycle risk | 1.78 ATRexpanding 0.36 | -11.6%64.78 · gap +31.1% | 14.2▲ 45.0 in 13w | 6wterminal |
| CURVTorrid Holdings Inc · NYSE | Upward ExpansionRe-acceleratingClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 83/100 | 77−100 to +100 | 80directional force | 32lifecycle risk | 1.47 ATRexpanding 0.74 | -32.3%3.77 · gap +23.6% | 47.4▲ 78.8 in 13w | 6wterminal |
| TAILCAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF · CBOE | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 96/100 | -80−100 to +100 | 81directional force | 39lifecycle risk | 2.34 ATRexpanding 0.28 | -8.4%11.40 · gap -2.9% | -15.3▼ -0.6 in 13w | 14wterminal |
| SMWBSimilarWeb Ltd · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 80/100 | 79−100 to +100 | 86directional force | 22lifecycle risk | 2.49 ATRexpanding 0.45 | -4.9%7.54 · gap +54.0% | 8.0▲ 66.1 in 13w | 1wterminal |
| DXCMDexCom Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 85/100 | 79−100 to +100 | 66directional force | 30lifecycle risk | 1.06 ATRexpanding 0.35 | -3.6%86.55 · gap +29.0% | 11.1▲ 34.6 in 13w | 7wterminal |
| EXFYExpensify Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 86/100 | 70−100 to +100 | 76directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 2.19 ATRexpanding 0.23 | -15.8%2.16 · gap +41.7% | 16.0▲ 55.3 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| NTNXNutanix Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 77/100 | 80−100 to +100 | 82directional force | 28lifecycle risk | 1.69 ATRexpanding 0.69 | +3.3%57.11 · gap +26.2% | 0.6▲ 36.8 in 13w | 4wterminal |
| PERFPerfect Corp. · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 75/100 | 72−100 to +100 | 89directional force | 18lifecycle risk | 2.29 ATRexpanding 1.86 | -10.6%2.15 · gap +18.2% | 0.3▲ 16.2 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| MKDWMKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 92/100 | 65−100 to +100 | 63directional force | 59lifecycle risk | 2.23 ATRcontracting -0.31 | -16.8%13.57 · gap +32.7% | 63.3▲ 57.4 in 13w | 11wterminal |
| ENTXEntera Bio Ltd · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 77/100 | 92−100 to +100 | 86directional force | 22lifecycle risk | 1.53 ATRexpanding 0.97 | +80.0%1.66 · gap +111.2% | 56.9▲ 102.9 in 13w | 1wterminal |
| BAXBaxter International Inc · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 77/100 | 86−100 to +100 | 75directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 1.58 ATRexpanding 0.29 | -11.2%29.46 · gap +33.7% | 17.7▲ 49.2 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| MKZRMacKenzie Realty Capital, Inc. Common Stock · NASDAQ | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 96/100 | -93−100 to +100 | 93directional force | 100lifecycle risk | 3.29 ATRexpanding 0.51 | -93.2%15.07 · gap -9.9% | -75.6▼ -22.9 in 13w | 37wterminal |
| KLCKinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 81/100 | 73−100 to +100 | 79directional force | 24lifecycle risk | 1.65 ATRexpanding 0.67 | -47.6%10.21 · gap +15.0% | 2.3▲ 44.5 in 13w | 2wterminal |
| PAYXPaychex Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 72/100 | 80−100 to +100 | 87directional force | 17lifecycle risk | 1.90 ATRexpanding 1.06 | -1.3%118.40 · gap +21.2% | -0.5▲ 29.7 in 13w | 1wterminal |
| FPIFarmland Partners Inc · NYSE | Downward ExpansionEarly contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 96/100 | -78−100 to +100 | 76directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 2.19 ATRexpanding 0.23 | -6.7%10.02 · gap -12.8% | -17.7▼ -8.2 in 13w | 4wterminal |
| ADPAutomatic Data Processing Inc · NASDAQ | Rotation UpValue reclamationClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 69/100 | 85−100 to +100 | 90directional force | 23lifecycle risk | 1.97 ATRexpanding 1.08 | +5.3%253.14 · gap +20.6% | -0.2▲ 26.9 in 13w | 4wterminal |
| CPSACALAMOS S&P 500 STRUCTURED ALT PROTECTION ETF - AUGUST · NYSEARCA | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 3 · Distribution | upconfidence 81/100 | 85−100 to +100 | 94directional force | 46lifecycle risk | 4.42 ATRexpanding 1.12 | +7.0%26.09 · gap +0.7% | -5.3▲ 1.2 in 13w | 16wterminal |
| TWFGTWFG, Inc. Class A Common Stock · NASDAQ | Rotation UpEmerging rotationClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 79/100 | 72−100 to +100 | 81directional force | 29lifecycle risk | 1.90 ATRexpanding 0.59 | -1.9%27.32 · gap +31.0% | 2.5▲ 39.6 in 13w | 5wterminal |
| UCARU Power Limited Ordinary Shares · NASDAQ | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 96/100 | -73−100 to +100 | 90directional force | 89lifecycle risk | 6.35 ATRexpanding 1.33 | -96.5%28.91 · gap -1.6% | -92.1▲ 0.2 in 13w | 22wterminal |
| ELSEElectro-Sensors Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 2 · Advancing | upconfidence 96/100 | 79−100 to +100 | 93directional force | 75lifecycle risk | 19.06 ATRexpanding 14.82 | +68.3%4.60 · gap -8.1% | 32.5▼ -18.6 in 13w | 15wterminal |
| FIVNFive9 Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionRe-acceleratingClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 86/100 | 73−100 to +100 | 68directional force | 26lifecycle risk | 1.14 ATRexpanding 0.43 | -28.6%38.51 · gap +19.5% | 20.1▲ 29.6 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| GYROGyrodyne Company of America Inc · NASDAQ | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 96/100 | -85−100 to +100 | 91directional force | 86lifecycle risk | 3.75 ATRexpanding 0.58 | -37.1%8.75 · gap -21.2% | -41.6▼ -17.1 in 13w | 29wterminal |
| IBIJISHARES TRUST IBONDS OCT 2033 TERM TIPS ETF USD · NYSEARCA | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 94/100 | -69−100 to +100 | 65directional force | 32lifecycle risk | 1.68 ATRexpanding 0.25 | +3.0%24.48 · gap -1.9% | -10.2▼ -0.4 in 13w | 10wterminal |
| HFSPTRADERSAI LARGE CAP EQUITY & CASH ETF · NASDAQ | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 90/100 | -89−100 to +100 | 81directional force | 38lifecycle risk | 2.39 ATRexpanding 0.20 | -22.4%17.07 · gap -4.9% | -22.7▼ -1.6 in 13w | 14wterminal |
| SLPSimulations Plus Inc · NASDAQ | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 91/100 | 62−100 to +100 | 66directional force | 23lifecycle risk | 1.61 ATRexpanding 0.37 | -37.4%29.11 · gap +15.2% | 5.4▲ 27.2 in 13w | 2wterminal |
| JOJOTIDAL ETF TRUST ATAC CR ROTATION ETF · NYSEARCA | Downward ExpansionEarly contractionClassic comparison: Stage 3 · Distribution | downconfidence 74/100 | -84−100 to +100 | 86directional force | 4lifecycle risk | 1.53 ATRexpanding 1.22 | +7.4%13.96 · gap -5.4% | -9.7▼ -3.4 in 13w | 1wterminal |
| ENOEntergy New Orleans LLC Pref · NYSE | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 93/100 | -74−100 to +100 | 71directional force | 25lifecycle risk | 1.47 ATRexpanding 0.39 | -0.7%21.07 · gap -4.3% | -12.4▼ -2.8 in 13w | 11wterminal |
| SVIX1x Short VIX Futures ETF · CBOE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 91/100 | 66−100 to +100 | 52directional force | 16lifecycle risk | 1.39 ATRcontracting -0.01 | -9.1%26.62 · gap +19.3% | 7.8▲ 15.0 in 13w | 1wterminal |
| CMPXCompass Therapeutics Inc. · NASDAQ | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 93/100 | -77−100 to +100 | 89directional force | 69lifecycle risk | 3.80 ATRexpanding 1.75 | -26.8%2.61 · gap +0.2% | -57.3▼ -0.3 in 13w | 12wterminal |
| BOXBox Inc · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 74/100 | 81−100 to +100 | 82directional force | 22lifecycle risk | 1.50 ATRexpanding 0.97 | +8.8%29.00 · gap +23.0% | 2.4▲ 27.0 in 13w | 2wterminal |
| HRBH&R Block Inc · NYSE | Upward ExpansionEarly expansionClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 75/100 | 80−100 to +100 | 80directional force | 23lifecycle risk | 1.55 ATRexpanding 0.71 | -4.4%46.04 · gap +27.3% | 0.0▲ 37.2 in 13w | 2wterminal |
| FEEDENvue Medical Inc. · NASDAQ | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 96/100 | -80−100 to +100 | 88directional force | 100lifecycle risk | 3.53 ATRexpanding 0.50 | -99.5%58.72 · gap -0.8% | -90.6▼ -8.0 in 13w | 62wterminal |
| UAUGInnovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - August · CBOE | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 2 · Advancing | upconfidence 84/100 | 87−100 to +100 | 95directional force | 49lifecycle risk | 4.47 ATRexpanding 1.62 | +19.0%35.66 · gap -0.5% | -3.0▲ 1.1 in 13w | 14wterminal |
| IRVHGLOBAL X FDS INTEREST RATE VOLATLTY & INFLTN HEDG ETF · NYSEARCA | Downward ExpansionEstablished contractionClassic comparison: Stage 4 · Declining | downconfidence 90/100 | -74−100 to +100 | 68directional force | 55lifecycle risk | 2.57 ATRcontracting -0.27 | -1.7%19.49 · gap -2.8% | -11.6▼ -0.7 in 13w | 20wterminal |
| USEPInnovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - September · CBOE | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 3 · Distribution | upconfidence 83/100 | 81−100 to +100 | 91directional force | 42lifecycle risk | 3.24 ATRexpanding 0.81 | +17.6%35.48 · gap -0.2% | -3.1▲ 1.1 in 13w | 14wterminal |
| AOCTInnovator Equity Defined Protection ETF - 2 Yr to October 2026 · CBOE | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 3 · Distribution | upconfidence 82/100 | 86−100 to +100 | 94directional force | 46lifecycle risk | 3.82 ATRexpanding 0.94 | +6.0%25.94 · gap +0.8% | -5.3▲ 1.4 in 13w | 15wterminal |
| JANHInnovator Premium Income 20 Barrier ETF - January · CBOE | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 3 · Distribution | upconfidence 81/100 | 84−100 to +100 | 92directional force | 30lifecycle risk | 2.69 ATRexpanding 1.17 | +7.5%23.16 · gap +1.3% | -5.8▲ 2.0 in 13w | 14wterminal |
| ALRMAlarm.com Holdings Inc · NASDAQ | Rotation UpEmerging rotationClassic comparison: Stage 1 · Basing | upconfidence 72/100 | 79−100 to +100 | 83directional force | 19lifecycle risk | 1.52 ATRexpanding 1.14 | -4.0%57.04 · gap +13.8% | 1.0▲ 19.1 in 13w | 3wterminal |
| XIDEFT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER & PREMIUM INCOME ETF - DECEMBER · CBOE | Upward ExpansionEstablished expansionClassic comparison: Stage 3 · Distribution | upconfidence 82/100 | 86−100 to +100 | 93directional force | 40lifecycle risk | 3.27 ATRexpanding 0.93 | +8.6%28.00 · gap +1.0% | -5.2▲ 1.6 in 13w | 15wterminal |
Transparent model boundary
Geometry determines regime; confirmation determines conviction
Direction gate
The 5-, 10-, 20- and 30-week weighted Activity Lines are compared with the 30-week Trend Line. All above is positive, all below negative, and divided structure is mixed.
Lifecycle geometry
Line ordering, four-week slope, fast/slow rotation, ATR-normalized fan width, crossing density and six-week price acceptance separate balance, rotation, expansion and deceleration.
Context and confirmation
Point-in-time Fair Value describes repair, clearance or failure. Mansfield RS and up/down volume confirm the geometry but cannot override a structurally contradictory regime.
Transition discipline
Ordinary changes require two completed weeks. A price shock beyond the complete fan can immediately mark structural failure; unresolved evidence remains explicitly grey.
Independent research for education. No regime, score or row is investment advice, a recommendation, an expected-return ranking, or an execution instruction.