Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in May?

Rates & Inflation expectations are steady at 4.4% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 4.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 31/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.4%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90 Liquidity 983 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency77.8
7d Move0.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 4.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 31/100.

Same theme
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 25.0% · Probability Fade · score 58 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in May? 44.0% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May? 1.1% · Watch · score 35 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 97.3% · High Conviction · score 34 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 2.1% · Watch · score 34 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? 1.5% · Watch · score 31