Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 42.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 42.0%. 24h move +17.4 pts. 7d move +17.4 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 42.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 55
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97 Liquidity 693 Spread 0.8 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality28.0
Momentum79.8
Urgency63.3
7d Move17.4 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 42.0%. 24h move +17.4 pts. 7d move +17.4 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? 41.5% · Probability Surge · score 53 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 42.0% · Watch · score 43 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 0.4% · Watch · score 41 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? 0.8% · Watch · score 33 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May? 2.8% · Watch · score 32 Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision? 1.2% · Watch · score 30