Polymarket · Economy

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?

Economy expectations are rising at 4.2% on a moderate-quality market. Economy expectation is steady at 4.2%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.3%
Signal Watch
Score 21
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 974 Liquidity 1.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality36.9
Momentum1.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.2 pts

Economy expectation is steady at 4.2%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 37/100.

Same theme
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? 0.1% · Watch · score 24 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%? 20.5% · Watch · score 20 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? 20.0% · Watch · score 14