Polymarket · Energy
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Energy expectations are rising at 98.2% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 98.2%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 64/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
98.2%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
36
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 971.2K
Liquidity 187.4K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality63.9
Momentum1.5
Urgency41.3
7d Move0.2 pts
Energy expectation is steady at 98.2%. 24h move +0.2 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 64/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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