Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.1%
Signal Watch
Score 20
Freshness 59s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.6K Liquidity 3.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.

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