HKG Equity Snapshot

9896 Weekly Equity Report

MINISO Group Holding Limited

Latest Close 26.00 HKD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 1.0% latest completed week
4W Return -7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -20.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of design-led lifestyle and pop toy products in Mainland China, the rest of Asia, North and Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers products in various categories, including home decor products, small electronics, textiles, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care products, snacks, fragrances and perfumes, and stationeries and gifts under the MINISO brand; and blind boxes, toy bricks, model figures, model kits, collectible dolls, Ichiban Kuji, and other popular toys under the TOP TOY brand. It also engages in …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

9896 closed the latest completed week at 26.00 HKD. The 4-week return is -7.1% and the 12-week return is -20.9%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.15. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 18/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -22.8%
Volume 1.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 13 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 15 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 30 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 51 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
33.67 HKD
Vs Trend Line
-22.8%
Fair Value
38.81 HKD
Vs Fair Value
-33.0%
52W High
51.72 HKD
52W Low
23.70 HKD
Drawdown
-49.7%
Range Position
8.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 1.0%
4W -7.1%
12W -20.9%
26W -31.9%
52W -24.9%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
12
52W Active Breadth
23.1%
Sector Scope
HK Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
137 of 443
Sector Percentile
69.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.15
4W MD Change
8.5%
Relative Strength
-26.45
4W RS Change
0.4%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
44.90%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
21.8M
13W Average
17.9M
52W Average
21.5M
Vs 13W
1.2x
Vs 52W
1.0x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.2%
52W Volatility
4.6%
Upside Weeks
21
Downside Weeks
30
Downside Breadth
57.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.3% / -3.1%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
HKG
Country
HK
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail
Currency
HKD
Market Cap
31.7B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 26.00 HKD 1.0% 33.67 HKD 38.81 HKD -1.15 -26.45 21.8M Off
5 Jun 2026 25.74 HKD -0.5% 34.20 HKD 38.86 HKD -1.09 -28.28 30.3M Off
29 May 2026 25.86 HKD -2.9% 34.68 HKD 38.92 HKD -1.14 -28.98 41.0M Off
22 May 2026 26.64 HKD -4.9% 35.19 HKD 38.96 HKD -1.26 -28.45 14.5M Off
15 May 2026 28.00 HKD -3.2% 35.76 HKD 38.98 HKD -1.25 -26.55 24.9M Off
8 May 2026 28.92 HKD 2.1% 36.22 HKD 39.01 HKD -1.38 -25.97 13.1M Off
1 May 2026 28.32 HKD -4.5% 36.72 HKD 39.03 HKD -1.43 -26.28 9.9M Off
24 Apr 2026 29.66 HKD -1.7% 37.21 HKD 39.06 HKD -1.34 -23.83 15.6M Off
17 Apr 2026 30.18 HKD -3.7% 37.65 HKD 39.09 HKD -1.32 -23.36 13.7M Off
10 Apr 2026 31.34 HKD -1.9% 38.26 HKD 39.10 HKD -1.25 -19.86 8.6M Off
3 Apr 2026 31.94 HKD 0.8% 38.81 HKD 39.11 HKD -1.12 -16.05 14.0M Off
27 Mar 2026 31.68 HKD -3.6% 39.33 HKD 39.12 HKD -0.96 -16.47 12.6M Off
20 Mar 2026 32.86 HKD 0.2% 39.87 HKD 39.15 HKD -0.77 -14.80 12.9M Off
13 Mar 2026 32.80 HKD -3.4% 40.33 HKD 39.15 HKD -0.63 -15.96 10.1M Off