JPX Equity Snapshot

3950 Weekly Equity Report

The Pack Corporation

Latest Close 1,321 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 6.4% latest completed week
4W Return -0.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

The Pack Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells paper products, film packaging, and other products in Japan and internationally. The company offers tote bags, paper bags, plastic bags, parcel delivery bags, sewn bags, garment bags, and other bags; paper boxes, paper trays, clear cases, and other types of boxes in various shapes; and corrugated shipping boxes, large-corrugated boxes for packing major appliances, and cushioning materials. It also provides gift boxes, drawstring bags, wrapping papers, seals, tags, ribbons, and other products for store supplies; film and flexible packaging products for food products, daily necessities, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

3950 closed the latest completed week at 1,321 JPY. The 4-week return is -0.2% and the 12-week return is -0.6%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.01. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 47/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 1.2%
Volume 1.8x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 45 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 49 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 33 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 75 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 77 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,305 JPY
Vs Trend Line
1.2%
Fair Value
1,135 JPY
Vs Fair Value
16.3%
52W High
1,399 JPY
52W Low
1,011 JPY
Drawdown
-5.6%
Range Position
79.9%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 6.4%
4W -0.2%
12W -0.6%
26W 6.6%
52W 27.0%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
43
52W Active Breadth
82.7%
Sector Scope
JP Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
29 of 651
Sector Percentile
95.7%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.01
4W MD Change
16.7%
Relative Strength
-18.57
4W RS Change
-30.1%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
55.79%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
912.7K
13W Average
511.7K
52W Average
875.5K
Vs 13W
1.8x
Vs 52W
1.0x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.8%
52W Volatility
2.3%
Upside Weeks
33
Downside Weeks
17
Downside Breadth
32.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
1.8% / -2.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Packaging & Containers
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
72.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,321 JPY 6.4% 1,305 JPY 1,135 JPY -1.01 -18.57 912.7K Off
5 Jun 2026 1,242 JPY -4.0% 1,302 JPY 1,133 JPY -1.15 -24.53 711.3K Off
29 May 2026 1,294 JPY -3.3% 1,300 JPY 1,131 JPY -1.06 -21.66 512.2K On
22 May 2026 1,338 JPY 1.1% 1,296 JPY 1,129 JPY -1.05 -15.63 620.5K On
15 May 2026 1,324 JPY -0.5% 1,292 JPY 1,126 JPY -1.21 -14.27 454.2K On
8 May 2026 1,331 JPY 1.9% 1,289 JPY 1,124 JPY -1.01 -15.95 164.4K On
1 May 2026 1,306 JPY 1.2% 1,284 JPY 1,121 JPY -0.79 -13.50 384.6K On
24 Apr 2026 1,291 JPY -4.7% 1,280 JPY 1,119 JPY -0.48 -15.16 449.2K On
17 Apr 2026 1,354 JPY -0.2% 1,276 JPY 1,117 JPY -0.21 -9.68 358.4K On
10 Apr 2026 1,357 JPY 0.4% 1,270 JPY 1,114 JPY -0.16 -7.48 383.1K On
3 Apr 2026 1,351 JPY 2.0% 1,263 JPY 1,111 JPY -0.12 -1.75 603.3K On
27 Mar 2026 1,325 JPY -0.3% 1,257 JPY 1,108 JPY 0.01 -4.37 606.0K On
20 Mar 2026 1,329 JPY 0.7% 1,251 JPY 1,105 JPY 0.22 -4.45 491.7K On
13 Mar 2026 1,320 JPY -1.3% 1,245 JPY 1,102 JPY 0.24 -6.15 643.2K On