What the company does
Tokuden Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells welding materials in Japan. The company offers flux-cored wires for submerged arc welding and MAG welding, arc welding electrodes for hard facing, wire rods for TIG and MIG welding, agglomerated and fused fluxes, powdered material for PTA welding, etc. It also undertakes welding construction works, such as various types of welding and overhaul works to iron-making, petrochemicals, cement, home electronics, automobile, and foodstuff industries; and provides pipes, top plates, iron foundry press-equalizing devices, trunnion journals, and chutes, as well as environment-related equipment, including deodorizing devices and forced-cooling apparatus. Tokuden …
What the weekly tape is saying
3437 closed the latest completed week at 2,650 JPY. The 4-week return is -11.5% and the 12-week return is -8.5%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.79. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 33/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 3,075 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- -13.8%
- Fair Value
- 2,410 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 10.0%
- 52W High
- 3,843 JPY
- 52W Low
- 2,269 JPY
- Drawdown
- -31.0%
- Range Position
- 24.2%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 40
- 52W Active Breadth
- 76.9%
- Sector Scope
- JP Industrials
- Sector Rank
- 757 of 995
- Sector Percentile
- 23.9%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Industrials
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- - of 100
- Avg 1W
- -2.3%
- Avg 4W
- -4.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 58.0%
- Positive MD
- 42.0%
JP Specialty Industrial Machinery
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- - of 100
- Avg 1W
- -3.0%
- Avg 4W
- -3.8%
- Trend Breadth
- 57.0%
- Positive RS
- 23.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.79
- 4W MD Change
- -21.2%
- Relative Strength
- -29.73
- 4W RS Change
- -77.5%
- Expectation
- Undecided
- Probability
- 53.23%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 4.7K
- 13W Average
- 2.3K
- 52W Average
- 3.6K
- Vs 13W
- 2.1x
- Vs 52W
- 1.3x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 3.7%
- 52W Volatility
- 3.9%
- Upside Weeks
- 29
- Downside Weeks
- 21
- Downside Breadth
- 40.4%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 2.9% / -3.1%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Specialty Industrial Machinery
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 4.4B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,650 JPY | -3.9% | 3,075 JPY | 2,410 JPY | -0.79 | -29.73 | 4.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,758 JPY | -1.3% | 3,078 JPY | 2,406 JPY | -0.84 | -27.98 | 2.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,793 JPY | 0.6% | 3,079 JPY | 2,401 JPY | -0.70 | -27.27 | 2.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,777 JPY | -7.3% | 3,074 JPY | 2,397 JPY | -0.69 | -24.75 | 3.8K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2,995 JPY | -7.1% | 3,071 JPY | 2,393 JPY | -0.65 | -16.75 | 1.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,225 JPY | 4.0% | 3,061 JPY | 2,387 JPY | -0.65 | -12.51 | 600 | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 3,100 JPY | 0.2% | 3,042 JPY | 2,381 JPY | -0.68 | -11.70 | 700 | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 3,095 JPY | 1.0% | 3,026 JPY | 2,376 JPY | -0.74 | -12.52 | 1.8K | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 3,065 JPY | -0.3% | 3,018 JPY | 2,371 JPY | -0.86 | -11.90 | 1.2K | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 3,075 JPY | 6.7% | 3,008 JPY | 2,367 JPY | -0.96 | -9.59 | 4.1K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 2,882 JPY | -1.6% | 3,000 JPY | 2,362 JPY | -1.13 | -9.51 | 2.1K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 2,929 JPY | 1.1% | 2,995 JPY | 2,358 JPY | -1.12 | -8.77 | 1.8K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 2,898 JPY | -1.2% | 2,988 JPY | 2,355 JPY | -0.96 | -10.04 | 2.6K | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 2,934 JPY | -2.1% | 2,981 JPY | 2,350 JPY | -0.68 | -9.85 | 1.9K | On |