- The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.29% based on similar historical setup states.
NVDA
TOR
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
46.29 CAD
2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 7.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
46.29 CAD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 11 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.0%.
Indicator stack
90/21
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.29%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 7.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6812-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1111 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 11 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.0% over four weeks, 3.7% over 12 weeks, and 16.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-283.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change72.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 94%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 40.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 25.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 33.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 74.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 64.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 47.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 62.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 65.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 65.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 58.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
5 positive · 21 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Technology
4-week rank5 / 40
Group average-4.2%
Trend breadth37.5%
Trend37.5%active weekly trend signals
MD57.5%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Semiconductors
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average3.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis60/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.68; 11 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.29%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.29% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
Morningstar says Nvidia is an 'undervalued' high-upside stock play Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 46.29 CAD | 2.2% | 43.88 CAD | 30.16 CAD | -0.34 | -2.22 | 2.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 45.30 CAD | -3.9% | 43.76 CAD | 29.94 CAD | -0.22 | -4.22 | 3.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 47.15 CAD | 6.8% | 43.62 CAD | 29.71 CAD | -0.01 | -0.66 | 3.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 44.14 CAD | 2.0% | 43.37 CAD | 29.48 CAD | 0.03 | -6.94 | 2.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 43.27 CAD | -7.8% | 43.28 CAD | 29.26 CAD | 0.18 | -8.20 | 3.8M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 46.95 CAD | 2.0% | 43.18 CAD | 29.05 CAD | 0.46 | -0.53 | 129.9K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 46.05 CAD | 0.0% | 42.98 CAD | 28.81 CAD | 0.72 | -2.22 | 893.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 46.05 CAD | -3.0% | 42.89 CAD | 28.58 CAD | 1.15 | -0.61 | 1.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 47.49 CAD | -1.7% | 42.78 CAD | 28.35 CAD | 1.47 | 1.61 | 6.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 48.32 CAD | -4.8% | 42.74 CAD | 28.10 CAD | 1.53 | 4.54 | 6.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 50.75 CAD | 4.8% | 42.54 CAD | 27.85 CAD | 1.53 | 12.24 | 8.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 48.44 CAD | 8.5% | 42.25 CAD | 27.58 CAD | 1.25 | 6.83 | 7.1M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 44.66 CAD | -4.7% | 42.03 CAD | 27.31 CAD | 0.76 | -0.46 | 7.4M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 46.85 CAD | 3.4% | 41.97 CAD | 27.07 CAD | 0.14 | 4.78 | 4.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.