EYE ASX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nova Eye Medical Limited · Healthcare · Medical Devices

Latest close 0.13 AUD
4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 23.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 0.13 AUD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 23.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.04% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 23.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0512-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 23.8% over four weeks, 2.0% over 12 weeks, and -10.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.0%
4W23.8%
12W2.0%
26W-29.7%
52W-10.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change137.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change68.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 37%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-19.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
68.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-38.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-22.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-49.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
25.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-17.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-17.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

4 positive · 31 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-13.3%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks5
Modest losses2
Sharp losses9
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20260.13 AUD4.0%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD0.40-8.142.1MOff
24 Jul 20260.12 AUD4.2%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD-0.05-9.871.9MOff
17 Jul 20260.12 AUD4.3%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD-0.59-14.03113.1KOff
10 Jul 20260.12 AUD9.5%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD-0.91-17.88627.0KOff
3 Jul 20260.10 AUD0.0%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD-1.07-25.451.3MOff
26 Jun 20260.10 AUD-4.5%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD-1.07-25.01125.1KOff
19 Jun 20260.11 AUD-8.3%0.14 AUD0.17 AUD-1.14-22.16392.6KOff
12 Jun 20260.12 AUD2.1%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-1.08-14.95174.4KOff
5 Jun 20260.12 AUD6.8%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-1.10-15.041.4MOff
29 May 20260.11 AUD-4.3%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-1.11-21.48208.4KOff
22 May 20260.12 AUD-8.0%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-0.99-17.481.3MOff
15 May 20260.12 AUD-2.0%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-0.94-10.14812.5KOff
8 May 20260.13 AUD2.0%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-0.98-9.591.9MOff
1 May 20260.12 AUD-7.4%0.14 AUD0.18 AUD-1.08-11.341.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.