Composite setup radar
35
Risk-first tape
Latest Close
1,611 JPY
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
-4.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. provides factory automation and embedded software development and network infrastructure technology services in Japan. The company develops industrial system, which includes artificial intelligence system development, manufacturing site improvement solution, images solution, FA system, logistics system, and product development; business system development, such as contract business development, ERP, manufacturing execution system, IoT/cloud solution, and data visualization and digitization solution; and government system development. It also offers embedded software development, comprising vending machine software development, embedded system construction technology, collaboration and project participation, and refactoring; and in-vehicle software verification, ECU software development, model-based …
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
4430 closed the latest completed week at 1,611 JPY. The 4-week return is -6.9% and the 12-week return is -7.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.17. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 35/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Inactive
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
-7.9%
Volume
1.3x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
51
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
28
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
27
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
0
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
53
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
54
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 1,750 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- -7.9%
- Fair Value
- 1,349 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 19.4%
- 52W High
- 1,965 JPY
- 52W Low
- 1,451 JPY
- Drawdown
- -18.0%
- Range Position
- 31.2%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 48
- 52W Active Breadth
- 92.3%
- Sector Scope
- JP Technology
- Sector Rank
- 382 of 704
- Sector Percentile
- 45.8%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Technology
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- - of 100
- Avg 1W
- -5.4%
- Avg 4W
- 3.8%
- Trend Breadth
- 61.0%
- Positive MD
- 72.0%
JP Software - Infrastructure
- Tracked Peers
- 95
- 4W Rank
- 48 of 95
- Avg 1W
- -5.8%
- Avg 4W
- -5.5%
- Trend Breadth
- 16.8%
- Positive RS
- 1.1%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -1.17
- 4W MD Change
- -21.3%
- Relative Strength
- -26.81
- 4W RS Change
- -47.3%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 55.25%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 123.0K
- 13W Average
- 98.1K
- 52W Average
- 110.0K
- Vs 13W
- 1.3x
- Vs 52W
- 1.1x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 1.7%
- 52W Volatility
- 2.7%
- Upside Weeks
- 23
- Downside Weeks
- 28
- Downside Breadth
- 53.8%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 2.3% / -1.6%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 8.1B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,611 JPY | -4.7% | 1,750 JPY | 1,349 JPY | -1.17 | -26.81 | 123.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,690 JPY | -0.1% | 1,751 JPY | 1,345 JPY | -1.14 | -24.52 | 118.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,691 JPY | -1.3% | 1,751 JPY | 1,340 JPY | -1.07 | -24.80 | 176.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,714 JPY | -0.9% | 1,750 JPY | 1,334 JPY | -1.03 | -20.82 | 100.4K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,730 JPY | -2.1% | 1,752 JPY | 1,329 JPY | -0.97 | -18.20 | 77.0K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,768 JPY | 1.1% | 1,750 JPY | 1,324 JPY | -0.91 | -18.79 | 47.7K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 1,748 JPY | -1.5% | 1,749 JPY | 1,318 JPY | -0.91 | -15.93 | 101.1K | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 1,775 JPY | -1.0% | 1,743 JPY | 1,313 JPY | -0.94 | -15.44 | 84.7K | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 1,794 JPY | 1.8% | 1,735 JPY | 1,308 JPY | -0.98 | -13.26 | 94.2K | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 1,762 JPY | 0.6% | 1,727 JPY | 1,302 JPY | -1.06 | -12.97 | 96.3K | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 1,752 JPY | 1.4% | 1,719 JPY | 1,296 JPY | -0.96 | -7.73 | 103.0K | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 1,728 JPY | -0.3% | 1,713 JPY | 1,291 JPY | -0.80 | -9.74 | 100.4K | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 1,734 JPY | -1.6% | 1,708 JPY | 1,285 JPY | -0.59 | -9.81 | 52.7K | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 1,762 JPY | -0.6% | 1,703 JPY | 1,279 JPY | -0.36 | -9.37 | 115.9K | On |