ECS ASX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Latest close 0.01 AUD
20.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.0%, after a 50.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 0.01 AUD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 20.0% latest completed week
4W Return 50.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 20.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 19.33% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.0%, after a 50.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 50.0% over four weeks, 20.0% over 12 weeks, and -33.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W20.0%
4W50.0%
12W20.0%
26W-14.3%
52W-33.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change296.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change100.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 24%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength62/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Value58/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Quality56/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Momentum58/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Growth58/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework80/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
4.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-51.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-19.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
30.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-39.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-39.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

2 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher5 of 266 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-16.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+20.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains0
Flat weeks15
Modest losses0
Sharp losses6
Recent vol12.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split11/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew16.3% / -13.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20260.01 AUD20.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD1.030.3015.4MOff
17 Jul 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.59-17.483.7MOff
10 Jul 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.41-18.861.0MOff
3 Jul 20260.01 AUD25.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.44-20.5213.1MOff
26 Jun 20260.00 AUD-11.1%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.26-36.859.4MOff
19 Jun 20260.00 AUD-10.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.36-30.59310.0KOff
12 Jun 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.54-23.76328.0KOff
5 Jun 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.66-23.251.4MOff
29 May 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.01 AUD0.55-25.32280.0KOff
22 May 20260.01 AUD-16.7%0.01 AUD0.02 AUD0.30-25.8113.6MOff
15 May 20260.01 AUD20.0%0.01 AUD0.02 AUD0.04-12.312.6MOff
8 May 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.02 AUD-0.29-28.953.8MOff
1 May 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.02 AUD-0.37-30.303.4MOff
24 Apr 20260.01 AUD0.0%0.01 AUD0.02 AUD-0.38-32.1611.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.