Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
234.43
Total Return
134.43%
CAGR
27.67%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+5.56%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.78
Sortino 2.96
Current Holdings
49
Transactions
2067
Avg 592.6/yr ·
49.4/mo ·
11.4/wk
Exit Mix
1009
Stop 23.2% ·
Warning 76.8%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly closePositions Out
Closed at weekly close
VXZ
CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36
20% entry drawdown · -21.90%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
ACES
NYSE · ALPS CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
ACES
NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY
NYSE · Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BDRY
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI
NYSE · ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
0.00%
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BITI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
0.00%
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ
CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
0.00%
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN
NYSE · Teucrium Corn Fund
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
CORN
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO
NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY
NYSE · ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF -1x Shares
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
EMTY
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD
NYSE · ProShares UltraShort Ether ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
ETHD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO
NYSE · ProShares UltraShort Euro -2X Shares
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
EUO
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP
NYSE · ProShares UltraShort FTSE China 50 -2x Shares
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
FXP
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE
NYSE · ADVISORSHARES RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
HDGE
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY
NYSE · YIELDMAX(R) MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MRNY
NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD
NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS
NYSE · ADVISORSHARES PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
MSOS
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU
NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO
NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT
NYSE · ProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SBIT
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF
NYSE · ProShares Short Financials -1x Shares
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EMIF
NASDAQ · ISHARES EMERGING MARKETS INFRASTRUCTURE ETF
29.48
Reversal Risk Warning
59.30%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
18.50
6 Feb 2026
Entry
FIAT
NYSE · YIELDMAX(R) SHORT COIN OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
23.91
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 88.47 · ROC 4.29% · RS 2.76
6 Feb 2026
Entry
FIAT
NYSEARCA · YIELDMAX SHORT COIN OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
23.91
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 88.47 · ROC 4.29% · RS 2.76
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FNDE
NYSE · SCHWAB FUNDAMENTAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY ETF
39.39
Reversal Risk Warning
78.09%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
22.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FNDE
NYSEARCA · SCHWAB FUNDAMENTAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY ETF
39.39
Reversal Risk Warning
78.09%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
22.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GSJY
NYSE · GOLDMAN SACHS ACTIVEBETA(R) JAPAN EQUITY ETF
51.68
Reversal Risk Warning
72.90%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
29.89
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GSJY
NYSEARCA · GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TRUST ACTIVEBETA JAPAN EQUITY ETF
51.68
Reversal Risk Warning
72.90%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
29.89
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GWX
NYSE · SPDR(R) S&P(R) INTERNATIONAL SMALL CAP ETF
44.15
Reversal Risk Warning
53.15%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
28.83
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GWX
NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P INTERNATIONAL SMALL CAP ETF
44.15
Reversal Risk Warning
53.15%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
28.83
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HDMV
NYSE · FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF
38.01
Reversal Risk Warning
54.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
24.62
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HDMV
NYSEARCA · FIRST TR EXCHANGE-TRADED FD III HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEV INTL
38.01
Reversal Risk Warning
54.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
24.62
6 Feb 2026
Exit
IAT
NYSE · ISHARES U.S. REGIONAL BANKS ETF
62.11
Reversal Risk Warning
60.19%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
38.77
6 Feb 2026
Exit
IAT
NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST U.S. REGIONAL BANKS ETF
62.11
Reversal Risk Warning
60.19%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
38.77
6 Feb 2026
Exit
JPIN
NYSE · JPMORGAN DIVERSIFIED RETURN INTERNATIONAL EQUITY ETF
73.27
Reversal Risk Warning
67.06%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
43.86
6 Feb 2026
Exit
JPIN
NYSEARCA · JP MORGAN ETF TRUST DIVERSIFIED RETURN INTERNATIONAL EQUITY
73.27
Reversal Risk Warning
67.06%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
43.86
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KBE
NYSE · SPDR(R) S&P BANK ETF
67.03
Reversal Risk Warning
65.88%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
40.41
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KBE
NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P BANK ETF
67.03
Reversal Risk Warning
65.88%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
40.41
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KRE
NYSE · SPDR(R) S&P REGIONAL BANKING(SM) ETF
73.21
Reversal Risk Warning
48.15%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
49.42
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KRE
NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P REGIONAL BANKING ETF
73.21
Reversal Risk Warning
48.15%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
49.42
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MEXX
NYSE · DIREXION DAILY MSCI MEXICO BULL 3X SHARES
36.96
Reversal Risk Warning
121.72%
Entry 23 May 2025
16.67
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MEXX
NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY MSCI MEXICO BULL 3X ETF
36.96
Reversal Risk Warning
121.72%
Entry 23 May 2025
16.67
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MOO
NYSE · VANECK AGRIBUSINESS ETF
83.03
Reversal Risk Warning
16.67%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
71.16
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MOO
NYSEARCA · VANECK ETF TR VANECK AGRIBUSINESS ETF
83.03
Reversal Risk Warning
16.67%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
71.16
6 Feb 2026
Entry
MSFD
NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
13.65
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 85.34 · ROC 1.81% · RS 2.36
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MXE
NYSE · Mexico Equity And Income Fund Inc
13.86
Reversal Risk Warning
63.96%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
8.45
6 Feb 2026
Exit
QLVD
NYSE · FLEXSHARES DEVELOPED MARKETS EX-US QUALITY LOW VOLATILITY INDEX FUND
32.96
Reversal Risk Warning
49.83%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
22.00
6 Feb 2026
Exit
QLVD
NYSEARCA · FLEXSHARES TRUST DEVELOPED MKTS EX-US QUALITY LOW VOL IDX
32.96
Reversal Risk Warning
49.83%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
22.00
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SCHY
NYSE · SCHWAB INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EQUITY ETF
32.60
Reversal Risk Warning
59.00%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
20.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SCHY
NYSEARCA · SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EQUITY ETF
32.60
Reversal Risk Warning
59.00%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
20.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SDG
NASDAQ · iShares MSCI Global Sustainable Development Goals ETF
86.13
Reversal Risk Warning
13.84%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
75.66