Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 481-510 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
31 Jul 202632.69
32.69
New Entry week
Buy
1.29
-
-
INVH NYSE · Invitation Homes Inc
24 Apr 202626.86
29.72
10.65%
Buy
0.40
-
-
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
15 Aug 20253.34
3.49
4.49%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IOSP NASDAQ · Innospec Inc
22 May 202679.58
85.98
8.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
IOTR NASDAQ · iOThree Limited Ordinary Shares
27 Mar 20262.23
2.97
33.18%
Buy
0.09
-
-
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
27 Feb 20263.86
4.07
5.44%
Buy
1.28
-
-
IP NYSE · International Paper
26 Jun 202638.76
40.83
5.34%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IPAR NASDAQ · Inter Parfums Inc
16 Jan 202688.44
124.55
40.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IPCX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
16 Jan 202610.17
8.69
-14.55%
Buy
0.17
-
-
IPEX NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. V
10 Oct 202510.36
10.54
1.79%
Buy
1.45
-
-
IPHA NASDAQ · Innate Pharma
15 May 20262.02
1.75
-13.37%
Buy
0.04
-
-
IPM NASDAQ · Intelligent Protection Management Corp
1 May 20261.90
1.80
-5.26%
Buy
0.58
-
-
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
26 Dec 20251.09
2.02
86.18%
Buy
1.51
-
-
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
24 Apr 20264.50
3.70
-17.78%
Buy
0.23
-
-
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
17 Jul 20261.19
1.27
6.72%
Buy
0.25
-
-
IRIX NASDAQ · IRIDEX Corporation
11 Jul 20251.01
0.82
-18.81%
Buy
0.18
-
-
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.23
34.71%
Buy
1.80
-
-
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
9 Jan 202684.31
121.21
43.77%
Buy
0.12
-
-
JACK NASDAQ · Jacktel AS
26 Jun 202613.81
16.37
18.54%
Buy
0.34
-
-
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
10 Oct 202517.03
26.33
54.65%
Buy
0.14
-
-
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
18 Jul 20254.41
6.03
36.73%
Buy
0.09
-
-
JBSS NASDAQ · John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc
4 Jul 202562.49
82.76
32.44%
Buy
0.16
-
-
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
1 May 20262.00
2.65
32.50%
Buy
0.66
-
-
JEF NYSE · Jefferies Financial Group Inc
22 May 202651.98
54.60
5.04%
Buy
0.24
-
-
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
12 Dec 202520.62
26.29
27.50%
Buy
0.05
-
-
JILL NYSE · J.Jill Inc
26 Jun 202615.89
18.22
14.66%
Buy
0.40
-
-
JJSF NASDAQ · J & J Snack Foods Corp
26 Jun 202675.75
76.50
0.99%
Buy
0.23
-
-
JL NASDAQ · J-Long Group Limited
29 Nov 20243.13
5.64
80.19%
Buy
1.04
-
-
JRVR NASDAQ · James River Group Holdings Ltd
18 Apr 20254.25
4.49
5.62%
Buy
0.11
-
-
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
23 Aug 20241.36
1.88
38.01%
Buy
0.12
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8881-8910 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jan 2024
Entry
MCY NYSE · Mercury General Corporation
38.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
19 Jan 2024
Exit
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.04
20% entry drawdown
-33.55%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 3.07
19 Jan 2024
Exit
NVTS NASDAQ · Navitas Semiconductor Corp
6.28
20% entry drawdown
-23.04%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 8.16
19 Jan 2024
Exit
OPFI NYSE · OppFi Inc
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-29.30%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 4.76
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PG NYSE · Procter & Gamble Company
139.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PH NYSE · Parker-Hannifin Corporation
458.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
6.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
19 Jan 2024
Entry
RDNT NASDAQ · RadNet Inc
37.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
19 Jan 2024
Entry
RM NYSE · Regional Management Corp
23.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
19 Jan 2024
Entry
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
42.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
19 Jan 2024
Exit
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
1.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.40%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 2.07
19 Jan 2024
Exit
SOFI NASDAQ · SoFi Technologies Inc.
7.49
20% entry drawdown
-22.86%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 9.71
19 Jan 2024
Exit
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
3.50
20% entry drawdown
-28.43%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 4.89
19 Jan 2024
Entry
TAYD NASDAQ · Taylor Devices Inc
30.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
19 Jan 2024
Entry
UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc
37.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.76
19 Jan 2024
Exit
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-28.14%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 4.18
12 Jan 2024
Exit
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.38%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.99
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ACMR NASDAQ · Acm Research Inc
21.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
12 Jan 2024
Entry
AGNCM NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.
19.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
3.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
12 Jan 2024
Exit
ALT NASDAQ · Altimmune Inc
12.00
Reversal Risk Warning
236.13%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 3.57
12 Jan 2024
Entry
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ARQQ NASDAQ · Arqit Quantum Inc.
11.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ATAI NASDAQ · ATAI Life Sciences BV
1.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
12 Jan 2024
Exit
BALY NYSE · Bally's Corp
10.62
20% entry drawdown
-27.66%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 14.68
12 Jan 2024
Exit
BBW NYSE · Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc
21.11
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 26.53
12 Jan 2024
Entry
CAMT NASDAQ · Camtek Ltd
69.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
12 Jan 2024
Entry
CNTX NASDAQ · Context Therapeutics Inc
1.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
12 Jan 2024
Entry
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
1.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
12 Jan 2024
Entry
DDI NASDAQ · Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd
9.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06