Universe
Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
US ETF Trend Performance Index
US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr
Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85
Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322
Avg 379.0/yr ·
31.6/mo ·
7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647
Stop 20.7% ·
Warning 79.3%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly closePositions Out
Closed at weekly close
VXZ
CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36
20% entry drawdown · -21.90%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
ACES
NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New
Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ
CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New
Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO
NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY
NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD
NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU
NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO
NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL
CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL
NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED
CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU
NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
3 Jul 2026
Entry
BITI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
3 Jul 2026
Entry
BTCZ
CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99
3 Jul 2026
Exit
VXZ
CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36
20% entry drawdown
-21.90%
Entry 4 Apr 2025
64.48
26 Jun 2026
Entry
ETHD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
92.05
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 80.97 · ROC 8.40% · RS 50.11
26 Jun 2026
Exit
GNOM
NASDAQ · GLOBAL X GENOMICS & BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF
56.21
Reversal Risk Warning
33.32%
Entry 17 Oct 2025
42.17
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HQL
NYSE · abrdn Life Sciences Investors
19.25
Reversal Risk Warning
99.37%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
9.66
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KSTR
NYSEARCA · KRANESHARES TR SSE STAR MKT 50 INDEX ETF
29.47
Reversal Risk Warning
127.57%
Entry 1 Nov 2024
12.95
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LABU
NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BULL 3X ETF
276.16
Reversal Risk Warning
168.81%
Entry 3 Oct 2025
102.74
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PSIL
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PSYCHEDELICS ETF
23.70
Reversal Risk Warning
108.25%
Entry 10 Jan 2025
11.38
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SBIT
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
67.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 72.75 · ROC 6.86% · RS 49.97
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EEMO
NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II S&P EMERGING MKTS MOMENTUM ETF
25.53
Reversal Risk Warning
78.18%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
14.33
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EWT
NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC MSCI TAIWAN ETF
109.99
Reversal Risk Warning
194.90%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
37.30
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EWY
NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC MSCI SOUTH KOREA ETF
219.20
Reversal Risk Warning
277.12%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
58.12
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FLKR
NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR FTSE SOUTH KOREA ETF
71.36
Reversal Risk Warning
271.66%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
19.20
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FLTW
NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR FTSE TAIWAN ETF
107.33
Reversal Risk Warning
223.82%
Entry 10 Mar 2023
33.15
19 Jun 2026
Exit
IGPT
NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR AI AND NEXT GEN SOFTWARE
106.40
Reversal Risk Warning
214.81%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
33.80
19 Jun 2026
Exit
IPOS
NYSEARCA · RENAISSANCE CAP GREENWICH FUNDS INTERNATIONAL IPO ETF
25.68
Reversal Risk Warning
93.27%
Entry 14 Mar 2025
13.29
19 Jun 2026
Entry
MSOS
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
4.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 55.10 · ROC 3.92% · RS 6.64
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SKF
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT FINANCIALS
26.22
20% entry drawdown
-20.36%
Entry 27 Mar 2026
32.92
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SOXQ
NASDAQ · INVESCO PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
112.70
Reversal Risk Warning
383.38%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
23.32
19 Jun 2026
Exit
USD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST PROSHARES ULTRA SEMICONDUCTORS
108.55
Reversal Risk Warning
1551.50%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
6.57
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WGMI
NASDAQ · COINSHARES BITCOIN MINING ETF
72.10
Reversal Risk Warning
590.36%
Entry 28 Apr 2023
10.44
19 Jun 2026
Exit
WTAI
CBOE · WISDOMTREE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND INNOVATION FUND
47.55
Reversal Risk Warning
189.67%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
16.42
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HFRO
NYSE · Highland Opportunities and Income Fund
7.06
Reversal Risk Warning
20.67%
Entry 5 Sep 2025
5.85
12 Jun 2026
Exit
MTUM
CBOE · ISHARES MSCI USA MOMENTUM FACTOR ETF
324.05
Reversal Risk Warning
130.11%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
140.83
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PEJ
NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR LEISURE AND ENTERTAINMENT ETF
65.11
Reversal Risk Warning
63.86%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
39.74
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SETH
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
53.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 56.13 · ROC 5.52% · RS 21.48
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TINY
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST NANOTECHNOLOGY ETF
91.05
Reversal Risk Warning
176.57%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
32.92
12 Jun 2026
Entry
WEED
CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
21.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 48.70 · ROC 2.76% · RS 10.21
5 Jun 2026
Exit
BEDZ
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST HOTEL ETF
35.76
Reversal Risk Warning
58.45%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
22.57