View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 271-300 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HDMV NYSEARCA · FIRST TR EXCHANGE-TRADED FD III HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEV INTL
38.01
Reversal Risk Warning
54.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 24.62
6 Feb 2026
Exit
IAT NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST U.S. REGIONAL BANKS ETF
62.11
Reversal Risk Warning
60.19%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 38.77
6 Feb 2026
Exit
JPIN NYSEARCA · JP MORGAN ETF TRUST DIVERSIFIED RETURN INTERNATIONAL EQUITY
73.27
Reversal Risk Warning
67.06%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 43.86
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KBE NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P BANK ETF
67.03
Reversal Risk Warning
65.88%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 40.41
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KRE NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P REGIONAL BANKING ETF
73.21
Reversal Risk Warning
48.15%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 49.42
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MEXX NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY MSCI MEXICO BULL 3X ETF
36.96
Reversal Risk Warning
121.72%
Entry 23 May 2025 16.67
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MOO NYSEARCA · VANECK ETF TR VANECK AGRIBUSINESS ETF
83.03
Reversal Risk Warning
16.67%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 71.16
6 Feb 2026
Entry
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
13.65
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 85.34 · ROC 1.81% · RS 2.36
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MXE NYSE · Mexico Equity And Income Fund Inc
13.86
Reversal Risk Warning
63.96%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 8.45
6 Feb 2026
Exit
QLVD NYSEARCA · FLEXSHARES TRUST DEVELOPED MKTS EX-US QUALITY LOW VOL IDX
32.96
Reversal Risk Warning
49.83%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 22.00
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SCHY NYSEARCA · SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EQUITY ETF
32.60
Reversal Risk Warning
59.00%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 20.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SDG NASDAQ · iShares MSCI Global Sustainable Development Goals ETF
86.13
Reversal Risk Warning
13.84%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 75.66
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TPIF NYSEARCA · TIMOTHY PLAN TIMOTHY PLAN INTERNATIONAL ETF
36.77
Reversal Risk Warning
67.51%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 21.95
6 Feb 2026
Exit
VSS NYSEARCA · VANGUARD INTL EQUITY INDEX FUND INC FTSE ALL-WORLD EX USA SMALL CAP ETF
153.21
Reversal Risk Warning
54.67%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 99.06
6 Feb 2026
Entry
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
14.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.69 · ROC 2.75% · RS 28.47
30 Jan 2026
Exit
AOR NYSEARCA · ISHARES CORE 60/40 BALANCED ALLOCATION ETF
66.04
Reversal Risk Warning
47.93%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 44.64
30 Jan 2026
Exit
DVYE NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC EMERGING MARKETS DIV ETF
33.26
Reversal Risk Warning
80.82%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 18.40
30 Jan 2026
Exit
EDD NYSE · Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Fund Inc
5.69
Reversal Risk Warning
65.90%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 3.43
30 Jan 2026
Exit
EWH NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC MSCI HONG KONG ETF
23.01
Reversal Risk Warning
39.63%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 16.48
30 Jan 2026
Exit
FENI NYSEARCA · FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST ENHANCED INTERNATIONAL ETF
38.16
Reversal Risk Warning
45.78%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 26.17
30 Jan 2026
Exit
NTSI NYSEARCA · WISDOMTREE TRUST INTL EFFICIENT CORE FD
45.61
Reversal Risk Warning
45.10%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 31.44
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TEI NYSE · Templeton Emerging Markets Income Fund Inc
6.54
Reversal Risk Warning
66.40%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 3.93
23 Jan 2026
Exit
AAAU CBOE · Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF
49.13
Reversal Risk Warning
173.55%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 17.96
23 Jan 2026
Exit
BAR NYSEARCA · GRANITESHARES GOLD TRUST SHS BEN INT NPV
49.09
Reversal Risk Warning
173.63%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 17.94
23 Jan 2026
Exit
CEFA NASDAQ · GLOBAL X S&P CATHOLIC VALUES DEVELOPED EX-U.S. ETF
38.33
Reversal Risk Warning
51.07%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 25.37
23 Jan 2026
Exit
COLO NYSEARCA · GLOBAL X MSCI COLOMBIA ETF
42.91
Reversal Risk Warning
128.68%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 18.76
23 Jan 2026
Exit
DLS NYSEARCA · WISDOMTREE TRUST INTL SMALLCAP DIVIDEND FD SBI USD0.001
84.92
Reversal Risk Warning
59.07%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 53.38
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EDIV NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P EMERGING MARKETS DIVIDEND ETF
40.85
Reversal Risk Warning
86.50%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 21.90
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EWD NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC MSCI SWEDEN ETF
51.18
Reversal Risk Warning
59.13%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 32.16
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FDEV CBOE · FIDELITY INTERNATIONAL MULTIFACTOR ETF
35.33
Reversal Risk Warning
57.15%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 22.48