View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 301-330 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FGM NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST GERMANY ALPHADEX FUND
67.18
Reversal Risk Warning
77.88%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 37.77
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FKU NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST UNITED KINGDOM ALPHADEX FUND
53.57
Reversal Risk Warning
77.68%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 30.15
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GLD NYSEARCA · SPDR GOLD TRUST GOLD SHARES NPV
458.00
Reversal Risk Warning
172.05%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 168.35
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GLDI NASDAQ · Credit Suisse AG Nassau Branch
163.81
Reversal Risk Warning
84.20%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 88.93
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GLDM NYSEARCA · WORLD GOLD TRUST SPDR GOLD MINISHARES TRUST(POST REV SPL)
98.61
Reversal Risk Warning
174.30%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 35.95
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GOAU NYSEARCA · ETF SERIES SOLUTIONS US GLOBAL GO GOLD & PRECUS METL MINE ETF
53.43
Reversal Risk Warning
212.26%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 17.11
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IAU NYSEARCA · ISHARES GOLD TRUST ISHARES NEW (POST REV SPLIT)
93.79
Reversal Risk Warning
173.20%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 34.33
23 Jan 2026
Exit
ISVL CBOE · ISHARES INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPED SMALL CAP VALUE FACTOR ETF
49.67
Reversal Risk Warning
75.57%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 28.29
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LCTD NYSEARCA · ISHARES WORLD EX U.S. CARBON TRANSITION READINESS AWARE ACTIVE ETF
55.88
Reversal Risk Warning
51.96%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 36.77
23 Jan 2026
Exit
MSMR CBOE · MCELHENNY SHEFFIELD MANAGED RISK ETF
35.63
Reversal Risk Warning
71.34%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 20.80
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NIKL NASDAQ · Sprott Nickel Miners ETF
20.30
Reversal Risk Warning
64.52%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 12.34
23 Jan 2026
Exit
OUNZ NYSEARCA · VANECK MERK GOLD ETF
47.95
Reversal Risk Warning
173.22%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 17.55
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PDN NYSEARCA · INVESCO RAFI DEVELOPED MARKETS EX-U.S. SMALL-MID ETF
44.63
Reversal Risk Warning
58.91%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 28.08
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PXH NYSEARCA · INVESCO RAFI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
27.48
Reversal Risk Warning
70.90%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 16.08
23 Jan 2026
Exit
QINT NYSEARCA · AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST QUALITY DIVERSIFIED INTERNATIONAL ETF
66.38
Reversal Risk Warning
75.08%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 37.91
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RFDI NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST RIVERFRONT DYNAMIC DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF
83.36
Reversal Risk Warning
66.57%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 50.04
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RGT NYSE · Royce Global Value Trust Inc
14.00
Reversal Risk Warning
61.33%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 8.68
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SCHC NYSEARCA · SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR INTL SMALL CAP EQUITY ETF
48.90
Reversal Risk Warning
60.23%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 30.52
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SCZ NASDAQ · ISHARES MSCI EAFE SMALL-CAP ETF
80.92
Reversal Risk Warning
48.15%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 54.62
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SDEM NYSEARCA · GLOBAL X FDS MSCI SUPERDIVIDEND EMERGING MRKTS (R/S)
32.02
Reversal Risk Warning
59.74%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 20.04
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SGOL NYSEARCA · ABRDN GOLD ETF TR ABRDN PHYSICAL GOLD SHARES ETF
47.47
Reversal Risk Warning
173.76%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 17.34
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SILJ NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY ETF TRUST JUNIOR SILVER MINERS ETF
38.74
Reversal Risk Warning
284.52%
Entry 3 May 2024 10.07
16 Jan 2026
Exit
EFG CBOE · ISHARES MSCI EAFE GROWTH ETF
118.29
Reversal Risk Warning
38.64%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 85.32
16 Jan 2026
Exit
GAL NYSEARCA · STATE STREET GLOBAL ALLOCATION ETF
50.41
Reversal Risk Warning
45.01%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 34.76
16 Jan 2026
Exit
UEVM NASDAQ · VICTORYSHARES EMERGING MARKETS VALUE MOMENTUM ETF FORMERLY VICTORYSHARES USAA MSCI EMERGING MARKETS VALUE MOMENTUM ETF
58.21
Reversal Risk Warning
67.50%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 34.75
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ZSB NYSEARCA · USCF ETF TRUST SUSTAINABLE BATTERY METALS STRATEGY FUND
23.57
Reversal Risk Warning
71.95%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 13.70
9 Jan 2026
Exit
CNYA CBOE · ISHARES MSCI CHINA A ETF
35.74
Reversal Risk Warning
26.60%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 28.23
9 Jan 2026
Exit
CVAR CBOE · CULTIVAR ETF
29.31
Reversal Risk Warning
34.90%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 21.73
9 Jan 2026
Exit
EOT NYSE · Eaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust
16.91
Reversal Risk Warning
10.27%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 15.33
9 Jan 2026
Exit
EWUS CBOE · ISHARES MSCI UNITED KINGDOM SMALL-CAP ETF
42.23
Reversal Risk Warning
41.21%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 29.90