View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 361-390 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DDEC CBOE · FT VEST U.S. EQUITY DEEP BUFFER ETF - DECEMBER
44.76
Reversal Risk Warning
45.37%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 30.79
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DJUL CBOE · FT VEST U.S. EQUITY DEEP BUFFER ETF - JULY
47.35
Reversal Risk Warning
50.13%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 31.54
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DSEP CBOE · FT VEST U.S. EQUITY DEEP BUFFER ETF - SEPTEMBER
44.78
Reversal Risk Warning
43.16%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 31.28
5 Dec 2025
Exit
DWLD CBOE · DAVIS SELECT WORLDWIDE ETF
45.87
Reversal Risk Warning
80.23%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 25.45
5 Dec 2025
Exit
PSCJ CBOE · PACER SWAN SOS CONSERVATIVE (JULY) ETF
29.89
Reversal Risk Warning
48.63%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 20.11
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ELD NYSEARCA · WISDOMTREE TRUST EMERGING MKTS LOCAL DEBT FD ETF
27.96
Reversal Risk Warning
24.38%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 22.48
28 Nov 2025
Exit
HEQT NYSEARCA · SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS SIMPLIFY HEDGED EQUITY ETF
31.71
Reversal Risk Warning
48.69%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 21.33
28 Nov 2025
Exit
INKM NYSEARCA · STATE STREET INCOME ALLOCATION ETF
32.79
Reversal Risk Warning
27.10%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 25.80
28 Nov 2025
Entry
MSTZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE MSTR DAILY TARGET ETF
13.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.65 · ROC 13.89% · RS 20.22
28 Nov 2025
Exit
PMAY CBOE · Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF - May
39.25
Reversal Risk Warning
37.67%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 28.51
28 Nov 2025
Entry
SMST NASDAQ · DEFIANCE DAILY TARGET 2X SHORT MSTR ETF
74.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.54 · ROC 12.44% · RS 10.12
21 Nov 2025
Exit
BMED NYSEARCA · ISHARES HEALTH INNOVATION ACTIVE ETF
29.88
Reversal Risk Warning
27.75%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 23.39
14 Nov 2025
Exit
ADIV NYSEARCA · GUINNESS ATKINSON ASIA PACIFIC DIVIDEND BUILDER ETF
18.21
Reversal Risk Warning
49.55%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 12.17
14 Nov 2025
Exit
CNBS NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY SEYMOUR CANNABIS ETF
20.65
20% entry drawdown
-21.15%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 26.19
14 Nov 2025
Exit
EMLC NYSEARCA · VANECK ETF TR VANECK J. P. MORGAN EM LOCAL CURRENCY BO
24.68
Reversal Risk Warning
20.38%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 20.50
14 Nov 2025
Exit
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
3.36
20% entry drawdown
-24.49%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 4.45
14 Nov 2025
Exit
RNEM NASDAQ · EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY SELECT ETF
55.46
Reversal Risk Warning
39.20%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 39.84
14 Nov 2025
Exit
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
14.95
20% entry drawdown
-21.40%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 19.02
31 Oct 2025
Exit
DZZ NYSE · PowerShares DB Gold Double Short ETN
5.92
Reversal Risk Warning
221.74%
Entry 9 May 2025 1.84
31 Oct 2025
Exit
FRTY NYSEARCA · THE ALGER ETF TRUST MID CAP 40 ETF
22.83
Reversal Risk Warning
57.18%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 14.53
31 Oct 2025
Exit
GGRW NYSEARCA · GABELLI ETFS TR GABELLI GROWTH INNOVATORS ETF
35.92
Reversal Risk Warning
77.33%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 20.25
31 Oct 2025
Exit
NIM NYSE · Nuveen Select Maturities Municipal Fund
9.23
Reversal Risk Warning
9.63%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 8.42
31 Oct 2025
Exit
PCEF NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II CEF INCOME COMPOSITE ETF
19.11
Reversal Risk Warning
35.34%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 14.12
31 Oct 2025
Exit
TCHP NYSEARCA · T ROWE PRICE EXCHANGE TRD FDS INC BLUE CHIP GROWTH ETF
50.30
Reversal Risk Warning
108.28%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 24.15
31 Oct 2025
Exit
TGRW NYSEARCA · T ROWE PRICE EXCHANGE TRD FDS INC GROWTH STK ETF
47.26
Reversal Risk Warning
95.60%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 24.16
31 Oct 2025
Exit
XDSQ CBOE · Innovator U.S. Equity Accelerated ETF - Quarterly
40.63
Reversal Risk Warning
58.96%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 25.56
31 Oct 2025
Exit
YYY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY CEF HIGH INCOME ETF
10.93
Reversal Risk Warning
34.72%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 8.12
24 Oct 2025
Exit
AAPD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY AAPL BEAR 1X SHARES
13.38
20% entry drawdown
-20.37%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 16.80
24 Oct 2025
Exit
CEW NYSEARCA · WISDOMTREE TRUST EMERGING CURRENCY STRATEGY FUND
18.52
Reversal Risk Warning
18.59%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 15.62
24 Oct 2025
Exit
EUM NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT MSCI EMERGING MARKETS
19.97
20% entry drawdown
-20.12%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 25.00