View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 391-420 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Oct 2025
Exit
GFGF NASDAQ · GURU FAVORITE STOCKS ETF
34.33
Reversal Risk Warning
63.17%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 21.04
24 Oct 2025
Exit
PSQ NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT QQQ POST REV SPLIT
29.73
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 37.87
24 Oct 2025
Exit
RFEU NASDAQ · First Trust RiverFront Dynamic Europe ETF
72.24
Reversal Risk Warning
38.70%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 52.09
24 Oct 2025
Exit
ROBT NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST NASDAQ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND ROBOTICS ETF
55.79
Reversal Risk Warning
32.03%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 42.25
24 Oct 2025
Exit
SH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT S&P 500
35.84
20% entry drawdown
-20.26%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 44.94
24 Oct 2025
Exit
SPDN NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY S&P 500 BEAR 1X ETF
9.38
20% entry drawdown
-20.10%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 11.74
24 Oct 2025
Exit
USEP CBOE · Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - September
39.00
Reversal Risk Warning
45.15%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 26.87
24 Oct 2025
Exit
XDQQ CBOE · Innovator Growth Accelerated ETF - Quarterly
38.74
Reversal Risk Warning
65.75%
Entry 12 May 2023 23.37
17 Oct 2025
Entry
GNOM NASDAQ · GLOBAL X GENOMICS & BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF
42.17
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 88.80 · ROC 1.86% · RS 0.78
10 Oct 2025
Exit
BITQ NYSEARCA · BITWISE CRYPTO INDUSTRY INNOVATORS ETF
28.13
Reversal Risk Warning
327.07%
Entry 19 May 2023 6.59
10 Oct 2025
Exit
BKCH NASDAQ · GLOBAL X BLOCKCHAIN ETF
102.37
Reversal Risk Warning
204.07%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 33.67
10 Oct 2025
Exit
CCOR NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST CORE ALTERNATIVE ETF
26.11
Reversal Risk Warning
-2.73%
Entry 23 May 2025 26.84
10 Oct 2025
Exit
DAPP NASDAQ · VANECK DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ETF
24.26
Reversal Risk Warning
362.95%
Entry 5 May 2023 5.24
3 Oct 2025
Exit
BITS NASDAQ · GLOBAL X BLOCKCHAIN & BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF
86.06
Reversal Risk Warning
319.41%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 20.52
3 Oct 2025
Exit
BLOK NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY ETF
69.82
Reversal Risk Warning
160.21%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 26.83
3 Oct 2025
Exit
DJUN CBOE · FT VEST U.S. EQUITY DEEP BUFFER ETF - JUNE
46.56
Reversal Risk Warning
42.84%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 32.60
3 Oct 2025
Entry
LABU NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BULL 3X ETF
102.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.93 · ROC 0.61% · RS 13.52
3 Oct 2025
Exit
SATO CBOE · INVESCO ALERIAN GALAXY CRYPTO ECONOMY ETF
27.29
Reversal Risk Warning
391.87%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 5.55
26 Sep 2025
Exit
CQQQ NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II CHINA TECHNOLOGY ETF USD
55.89
Reversal Risk Warning
40.37%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 39.81
26 Sep 2025
Exit
DUG NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ENERGY
30.97
20% entry drawdown
-21.42%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 39.41
26 Sep 2025
Exit
ERY NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY ENERGY BEAR 2X ETF
18.92
20% entry drawdown
-21.39%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 24.07
26 Sep 2025
Exit
PDO NYSE · PIMCO Dynamic Income Opportunities Fund
12.90
Reversal Risk Warning
33.50%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 9.66
19 Sep 2025
Exit
ARKK CBOE · ARK INNOVATION ETF
84.96
Reversal Risk Warning
73.74%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 48.90
19 Sep 2025
Exit
ARKW CBOE · ARK NEXT GENERATION INTERNET ETF
170.54
Reversal Risk Warning
140.86%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 70.80
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BITW NYSEARCA · BITWISE 10 CRYPTO INDEX ETF
82.41
Reversal Risk Warning
635.80%
Entry 5 May 2023 11.20
19 Sep 2025
Exit
CLIX NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST LONG ONLINE SHORT STORES ETF
60.47
Reversal Risk Warning
61.46%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 37.45
19 Sep 2025
Exit
CXSE NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE CHINA EX-STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES FUND
42.87
Reversal Risk Warning
34.91%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 31.78
19 Sep 2025
Exit
FCOM NYSEARCA · FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST MSCI COMMUNICATION SERVICES INDEX ETF
72.07
Reversal Risk Warning
99.18%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 36.19
19 Sep 2025
Exit
FDNI NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST DOW JONES INTERNATIONAL INTERNET ETF
38.07
Reversal Risk Warning
63.18%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 23.33
19 Sep 2025
Exit
LRGE NASDAQ · CLEARBRIDGE LARGE CAP GROWTH ESG ETF
83.14
Reversal Risk Warning
77.11%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 46.94