Universe
Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
US ETF Trend Performance Index
US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr
Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85
Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322
Avg 379.0/yr ·
31.6/mo ·
7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647
Stop 20.7% ·
Warning 79.3%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly closePositions Out
Closed at weekly close
VXZ
CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36
20% entry drawdown · -21.90%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
ACES
NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New
Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ
CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New
Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO
NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY
NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD
NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU
NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO
NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL
CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL
NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED
CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU
NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
19 Sep 2025
Entry
MSOS
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
4.45
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 88.49 · ROC 5.96% · RS 4.47
19 Sep 2025
Exit
TESL
NYSEARCA · SIMPLIFY VOLT TSLA REVOLUTION ETF
25.08
Reversal Risk Warning
244.74%
Entry 9 Jun 2023
7.28
19 Sep 2025
Exit
VOX
NYSEARCA · VANGUARD WORLD FUND VANGUARD COMMNCTN SERV ETF
190.62
Reversal Risk Warning
99.81%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
95.40
19 Sep 2025
Entry
WEED
CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
19.02
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 88.68 · ROC 5.96% · RS 4.36
12 Sep 2025
Entry
CNBS
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY SEYMOUR CANNABIS ETF
26.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 97.54 · ROC 6.05% · RS 2.66
12 Sep 2025
Exit
EMQQ
NYSEARCA · THE EMERGING MARKETS INTERNET ETF
43.91
Reversal Risk Warning
44.40%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
30.41
12 Sep 2025
Exit
LTL
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRA COMMUNICATION SERVICES
28.35
Reversal Risk Warning
217.27%
Entry 28 Apr 2023
8.94
12 Sep 2025
Exit
METV
NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST ROUNDHILL BALL METAVERSE ETF USD
20.36
Reversal Risk Warning
120.91%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
9.22
12 Sep 2025
Entry
MJ
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY ALTERNATIVE HARVEST ETF
30.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 97.99 · ROC 5.17% · RS 7.02
12 Sep 2025
Exit
MMLG
NYSEARCA · FIRST TR EXCHANGE TRADED FD VIII FIRST TR MULTI MANAGER LARGE GROWTH ETF
35.94
Reversal Risk Warning
90.34%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
18.88
12 Sep 2025
Exit
OGIG
NYSEARCA · ALPS - O SHARES GLOBAL INTERNET GIANTS ETF
56.77
Reversal Risk Warning
63.07%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
34.81
12 Sep 2025
Exit
OND
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ON-DEMAND ETF
46.71
Reversal Risk Warning
117.62%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
21.46
12 Sep 2025
Exit
PCY
NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II EMERGING MKTS SOVEREIGN DEBT ETF
20.69
Reversal Risk Warning
29.81%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
15.94
12 Sep 2025
Exit
RXI
NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST GLOBAL CONS DISC ETF
201.39
Reversal Risk Warning
48.60%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
135.52
12 Sep 2025
Exit
XOVR
NASDAQ · ERSHARES PRIVATE-PUBLIC CROSSOVER ETF
20.74
Reversal Risk Warning
91.77%
Entry 21 Apr 2023
10.81
5 Sep 2025
Entry
BWET
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE TANKER SHIPPING ETF
14.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 20.86 · ROC 1.38% · RS 8.08
5 Sep 2025
Exit
EMBD
NYSEARCA · GLOBAL X FDS EMERGING MKTS BD ETF
22.74
Reversal Risk Warning
23.88%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
18.36
5 Sep 2025
Entry
HFRO
NYSE · Highland Opportunities and Income Fund
5.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 94.41 · ROC 1.84% · RS 6.98
5 Sep 2025
Entry
ILIT
NASDAQ · ISHARES LITHIUM MINERS AND PRODUCERS ETF
10.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 70.29 · ROC 2.03% · RS 4.48
5 Sep 2025
Exit
ITM
CBOE · VANECK INTERMEDIATE MUNI ETF
45.03
Reversal Risk Warning
8.63%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
41.45
5 Sep 2025
Exit
IXP
NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST GLOBAL COMM SERVICES ETF
118.50
Reversal Risk Warning
97.16%
Entry 31 Mar 2023
60.10
5 Sep 2025
Entry
LITP
NASDAQ · Sprott Lithium Miners ETF
7.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 75.02 · ROC 2.42% · RS 7.87
5 Sep 2025
Exit
XLC
NYSEARCA · SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST STATE STREET COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELE
113.56
Reversal Risk Warning
99.10%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
57.04
5 Sep 2025
Exit
XRT
NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P RETAIL ETF
86.84
Reversal Risk Warning
36.34%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
63.70
29 Aug 2025
Entry
AMDL
NASDAQ · GRANITESHARES 2X LONG AMD DAILY ETF
10.62
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 51.23 · ROC 9.14% · RS 10.81
29 Aug 2025
Exit
PNQI
NASDAQ · INVESCO NASDAQ INTERNET ETF
54.07
Reversal Risk Warning
93.89%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
27.89
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ACES
NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
29.32
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 31.62 · ROC 0.53% · RS 2.35
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AQWA
NASDAQ · GLOBAL X CLEAN WATER ETF
19.82
Reversal Risk Warning
44.56%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
13.71
22 Aug 2025
Exit
BUYZ
CBOE · FRANKLIN DISRUPTIVE COMMERCE ETF
42.54
Reversal Risk Warning
47.49%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
28.84
22 Aug 2025
Exit
DXD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT DOW 30 (POST REV SPLIT)
22.24
20% entry drawdown
-21.52%
Entry 25 Apr 2025
28.34