Universe
Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
US ETF Trend Performance Index
US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr
Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85
Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322
Avg 379.0/yr ·
31.6/mo ·
7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647
Stop 20.7% ·
Warning 79.3%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly closePositions Out
Closed at weekly close
VXZ
CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36
20% entry drawdown · -21.90%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
ACES
NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New
Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ
CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New
Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO
NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY
NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD
NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS
NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU
NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO
NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL
CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL
NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT
NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED
CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU
NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
22 Aug 2025
Exit
EBIZ
NASDAQ · GLOBAL X E-COMMERCE ETF
33.95
Reversal Risk Warning
93.56%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
17.54
22 Aug 2025
Exit
ESPO
NASDAQ · VANECK VIDEO GAMING AND ESPORTS ETF
113.57
Reversal Risk Warning
120.49%
Entry 31 Mar 2023
51.51
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FDHY
NYSEARCA · FIDELITY ENHANCED HIGH YIELD ETF
46.67
Reversal Risk Warning
23.49%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
37.79
22 Aug 2025
Exit
IBUY
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY ETF TRUST AMPLIFY ONLINE RETAIL ETF
74.40
Reversal Risk Warning
38.40%
Entry 29 Dec 2023
53.75
22 Aug 2025
Exit
KURE
NYSEARCA · KRANESHARES TRUST MSCI ALL CHINA HEALTH CARE INDEX ETF
19.85
Reversal Risk Warning
26.34%
Entry 30 May 2025
15.71
22 Aug 2025
Exit
MMT
NYSE · MFS Multimarket Income Trust
4.37
Reversal Risk Warning
21.60%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
3.60
22 Aug 2025
Entry
QCLN
NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST NASDAQ CLEAN EDGE GREEN ENERGY INDEX FUND
37.98
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 39.47 · ROC 0.56% · RS 2.60
22 Aug 2025
Exit
TMFX
CBOE · MOTLEY FOOL NEXT INDEX ETF
21.36
Reversal Risk Warning
40.72%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
15.18
15 Aug 2025
Entry
BDRY
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
8.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 61.37 · ROC 3.14% · RS 2.83
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BIS
NASDAQ · ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotechnology -2x Shares
27.43
20% entry drawdown
-21.33%
Entry 10 Jan 2025
34.87
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BNGE
NYSEARCA · FIRST TR EXCHANGE TRADED FD VI S NETWORK STREAMING & GAMING ETF
38.83
Reversal Risk Warning
104.96%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
18.95
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BTF
NASDAQ · COINSHARES BITCOIN AND ETHER ETF
36.15
Reversal Risk Warning
203.11%
Entry 17 Mar 2023
11.93
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CTEX
NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST S&P KENSHO CLEANTECH ETF
25.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 81.09 · ROC 1.34% · RS 9.89
15 Aug 2025
Entry
DOO
NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
56.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 52.78 · ROC 0.35% · RS 3.34
15 Aug 2025
Exit
HIX
NYSE · Western Asset High Income Fund II Inc
3.84
Reversal Risk Warning
11.84%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
3.43
15 Aug 2025
Entry
HYDR
NASDAQ · GLOBAL X HYDROGEN ETF
24.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 65.79 · ROC 0.51% · RS 3.68
15 Aug 2025
Exit
LABD
NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BEAR 3X ETF
54.80
20% entry drawdown
-23.81%
Entry 28 Feb 2025
71.92
15 Aug 2025
Exit
SOCL
NASDAQ · GLOBAL X SOCIAL MEDIA ETF
58.72
Reversal Risk Warning
76.89%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
33.19
15 Aug 2025
Entry
TAN
NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II SOLAR ETF
39.84
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 38.24 · ROC 1.46% · RS 2.45
15 Aug 2025
Exit
VGI
NYSE · Virtus Global Multi-Sector Income Fund
7.15
Reversal Risk Warning
35.08%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
5.29
15 Aug 2025
Exit
VLT
NYSE · Invesco High Income Trust II
10.18
Reversal Risk Warning
34.72%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
7.56
8 Aug 2025
Exit
FPE
NYSEARCA · FIRST TR EXCHANGE-TRADED FD III FIRST TR PFD SECS & INCOME ETF
17.14
Reversal Risk Warning
18.21%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
14.50
8 Aug 2025
Exit
JGH
NYSE · Nuveen Global High Income Fund
12.16
Reversal Risk Warning
43.09%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
8.50
8 Aug 2025
Entry
PBW
NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR WILDERHILL CLEAN ENERGY ETF
23.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 73.71 · ROC 2.06% · RS 10.93
8 Aug 2025
Entry
REMX
NYSEARCA · VANECK RARE EARTH AND STRATEGIC METALS ETF
53.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 82.43 · ROC 4.19% · RS 19.39
1 Aug 2025
Entry
BATT
NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY ETF TRUST AMPLIFY LITHIUM & BATTERY TECHNOLOGY ETF
9.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 77.36 · ROC 1.66% · RS 3.20
1 Aug 2025
Entry
CTEC
NASDAQ · GLOBAL X CLEANTECH ETF
39.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 96.02 · ROC 2.31% · RS 1.64
1 Aug 2025
Exit
EHI
NYSE · Western Asset Global High Income Fund Inc
5.91
Reversal Risk Warning
17.98%
Entry 27 Jan 2023
5.01
1 Aug 2025
Entry
EMET
NYSEARCA · VANECK COPPER AND GREEN METALS ETF
23.69
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 72.47 · ROC 2.12% · RS 0.15
1 Aug 2025
Entry
FDRV
CBOE · Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF
14.69
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 92.73 · ROC 1.74% · RS 1.39