View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 31-60 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jun 2026
Exit
BWET NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE TANKER SHIPPING ETF
200.74
Reversal Risk Warning
1317.65%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 14.16
5 Jun 2026
Exit
IAE NYSE · Voya Asia Pacific High Dividend Equity Income Fund
8.99
Reversal Risk Warning
101.91%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 4.45
29 May 2026
Exit
AIA NASDAQ · iShares Asia 50 ETF
141.83
Reversal Risk Warning
148.99%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 56.96
29 May 2026
Exit
AIQ NASDAQ · Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF
67.32
Reversal Risk Warning
193.20%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 22.96
29 May 2026
Exit
AIVC NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY BLOOMBERG AI EQUAL WEIGHT ETF
114.30
Reversal Risk Warning
190.68%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 39.32
29 May 2026
Exit
AMDL NASDAQ · GRANITESHARES 2X LONG AMD DAILY ETF
69.92
Reversal Risk Warning
558.38%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 10.62
29 May 2026
Exit
AMOM NYSEARCA · EXCHANGE LISTED FUNDS TRUST RAFT AI ENHANCED US LRG CAP MOMNTUM ETF
59.95
Reversal Risk Warning
119.22%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 27.35
29 May 2026
Exit
ARTY NYSEARCA · ISHARES FUTURE AI & TECH ETF
74.62
Reversal Risk Warning
157.58%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 28.97
29 May 2026
Exit
BBSC CBOE · JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF
86.40
Reversal Risk Warning
56.66%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 55.15
29 May 2026
Exit
BUZZ NYSEARCA · VANECK ETF TR VANECK SOCIAL SENTIMENT ETF
40.54
Reversal Risk Warning
178.58%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 14.55
29 May 2026
Exit
CNXT NYSEARCA · VANECK CHINEXT INNOVATORS ETF
58.10
Reversal Risk Warning
107.31%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 28.03
29 May 2026
Exit
DIEM NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR EMERGING MARKET CORE DIVIDEND TILT INDEX
43.07
Reversal Risk Warning
105.55%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 20.95
29 May 2026
Exit
DOG NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT DOW30 (POST REV SPLIT)
22.15
20% entry drawdown
-20.44%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 27.85
29 May 2026
Exit
EMF NYSE · Templeton Emerging Markets Fund
23.02
Reversal Risk Warning
128.79%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 10.06
29 May 2026
Exit
FNGG NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY NYSE FANG+ BULL 2X ETF
265.20
Reversal Risk Warning
502.50%
Entry 5 May 2023 44.02
29 May 2026
Exit
FNGO NYSE · Bank of Montreal
151.39
Reversal Risk Warning
528.68%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 24.08
29 May 2026
Exit
FPA NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST ASIA PACIFIC EX-JAPAN ALPHADEX FUND
56.74
Reversal Risk Warning
136.78%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 23.96
29 May 2026
Exit
IDHQ NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II S&P INTL DEV QUALITY ETF
41.36
Reversal Risk Warning
72.03%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 24.04
29 May 2026
Exit
IETC CBOE · ISHARES U.S. TECH INDEPENDENCE FOCUSED ETF
114.90
Reversal Risk Warning
150.40%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 45.89
29 May 2026
Exit
IHD NYSE · Voya Emerging Markets High Dividend Equity Fund
7.45
Reversal Risk Warning
99.77%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 3.73
29 May 2026
Exit
IMCG NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR MID-CP GWTH ETF
93.42
Reversal Risk Warning
67.14%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 55.89
29 May 2026
Exit
IPO NYSEARCA · RENAISSANCE CAP GREENWICH FUNDS IPO ETF
56.57
Reversal Risk Warning
51.09%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 37.44
29 May 2026
Exit
KEMX NYSEARCA · KRANESHARES TRUST MSCI EMERGING MARKETS EX CHINA INDEX ETF
51.75
Reversal Risk Warning
127.40%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 22.76
29 May 2026
Exit
LOUP NYSEARCA · INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST DEEPWATER FRONTIER TECH ETF
97.76
Reversal Risk Warning
190.07%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 33.70
29 May 2026
Exit
LRNZ NYSEARCA · TRUESHARES TECHNOLOGY AI & DEEP LEARNING ETF
60.33
Reversal Risk Warning
110.25%
Entry 19 May 2023 28.69
29 May 2026
Exit
MAKX NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST S&P KENSHO SMART FACTORIES ETF
70.87
Reversal Risk Warning
117.82%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 32.54
29 May 2026
Exit
NXTG NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST INDXX NEXTG ETF
158.32
Reversal Risk Warning
156.11%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 61.82
29 May 2026
Exit
PDP NASDAQ · INVESCO DORSEY WRIGHT MOMENTUM ETF
142.84
Reversal Risk Warning
88.20%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 75.90
29 May 2026
Exit
PWB NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF
161.33
Reversal Risk Warning
147.48%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 65.19
29 May 2026
Exit
ROM NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULTRA TECH
158.95
Reversal Risk Warning
372.68%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 33.63