View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Market US ETFs

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

237.04

Total Return

137.04%

CAGR

28.07% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10

Current Holdings

Transactions

1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk

Exit Mix

647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF

26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47

BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF

6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN

50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS

ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF

22 Aug 202529.32

34.13

16.41%

31.62

0.53%

2.35

BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF

15 Aug 20258.02

12.27

52.99%

61.37

3.14%

2.83

BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF

3 Jul 202626.31

26.31

New Entry week

68.64

3.09%

14.47

BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF

3 Jul 20266.04

6.04

New Entry week

79.97

5.26%

32.99

CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS

27 Mar 202618.58

16.86

-9.26%

54.95

1.05%

3.18

DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A

15 Aug 202556.03

57.87

3.27%

52.78

0.35%

3.34

EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)

2 May 202525.70

23.72

-7.71%

40.21

0.93%

0.71

ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF

26 Jun 202692.05

77.58

-15.72%

80.97

8.40%

50.11

EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO

3 Apr 202629.73

30.63

3.02%

64.45

0.84%

0.49

FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)

27 Mar 202621.69

25.32

16.73%

91.00

1.85%

10.24

HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT

25 Apr 202518.19

15.97

-12.21%

72.40

1.04%

8.87

MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF

13 Feb 202613.57

21.03

55.00%

92.95

3.30%

17.06

MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES

6 Feb 202613.65

13.56

-0.65%

85.34

1.81%

2.36

MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF

19 Jun 20264.99

4.89

-2.00%

55.10

3.92%

6.64

NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045

13 Feb 202628.66

29.75

3.80%

55.67

5.02%

39.88

OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.

23 May 20252.30

2.41

4.81%

66.80

1.61%

41.35

SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF

26 Jun 202667.02

62.79

-6.31%

72.75

6.86%

49.97

SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS

20 Mar 202634.42

30.27

-12.05%

90.18

0.91%

4.33

SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF

12 Jun 202653.97

51.96

-3.72%

56.13

5.52%

21.48

SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD

4 Apr 202515.95

15.13

-5.14%

52.51

0.20%

13.29

SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES

11 Apr 202523.38

21.03

-10.04%

16.44

1.13%

2.42

TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD

3 Apr 202624.76

24.06

-2.81%

71.56

0.72%

0.28

TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF

25 Apr 202512.25

10.62

-13.31%

45.25

1.21%

11.14

TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF

3 Apr 202618.14

17.47

-3.69%

85.45

0.82%

1.49

WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)

20 Mar 202622.85

22.41

-1.93%

91.52

1.16%

1.79

WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF

12 Jun 202621.74

21.43

-1.42%

48.70

2.76%

10.21

WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS

6 Feb 202614.40

13.28

-7.78%

62.69

2.75%

28.47

YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)

20 Mar 202622.21

24.34

9.60%

79.60

0.73%

3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 781-810 of 1322

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

5 Jan 2024

Entry

BLOK NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY ETF

26.83

Trend inclusion

5 signals MA 93.46 · ROC 5.78% · RS 22.90

5 Jan 2024

Entry

BTO NYSE · John Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund

25.20

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 78.81 · ROC 2.55% · RS 0.97

5 Jan 2024

Entry

EEMO NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II S&P EMERGING MKTS MOMENTUM ETF

14.33

Trend inclusion

8 signals MA 64.83 · ROC 1.84% · RS 0.62

5 Jan 2024

Entry

KOLD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II ULTRASHORT BLOOMBERG NATURAL GAS(R/S)

38.15

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 81.75 · ROC 3.59% · RS 7.26

5 Jan 2024

Entry

YOLO NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE CANNABIS ETF

3.21

Trend inclusion

6 signals MA 13.39 · ROC 1.83% · RS 0.13

29 Dec 2023

Entry

GGME NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR NEXT GEN MEDIA AND GAMING ETF

38.58

Trend inclusion

6 signals MA 66.92 · ROC 1.95% · RS 0.02

29 Dec 2023

Entry

IAT NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST U.S. REGIONAL BANKS ETF

38.77

Trend inclusion

5 signals MA 90.66 · ROC 3.81% · RS 0.21

29 Dec 2023

Entry

IBUY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY ETF TRUST AMPLIFY ONLINE RETAIL ETF

53.75

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 71.94 · ROC 3.36% · RS 5.30

22 Dec 2023

Entry

BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF

10.44

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 90.93 · ROC 5.22% · RS 27.95

22 Dec 2023

Entry

BUYZ CBOE · FRANKLIN DISRUPTIVE COMMERCE ETF

28.84

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 74.60 · ROC 2.10% · RS 3.87

22 Dec 2023

Entry

FAS NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL 3X ETF

73.27

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 68.64 · ROC 4.55% · RS 8.93

22 Dec 2023

Entry

IPO NYSEARCA · RENAISSANCE CAP GREENWICH FUNDS IPO ETF

37.44

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 62.75 · ROC 3.05% · RS 9.96

22 Dec 2023

Exit

MCHI NASDAQ · ISHARES MSCI CHINA ETF

37.32

20% entry drawdown

-20.08%

Entry 3 Mar 2023 46.69

15 Dec 2023

Entry

KRE NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P REGIONAL BANKING ETF

49.42

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 70.46 · ROC 3.17% · RS 1.51

15 Dec 2023

Exit

SMHB NYSE · UBS AG London Branch

4.61

Reversal Risk Warning

11.38%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 4.14

8 Dec 2023

Entry

AIVC NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY BLOOMBERG AI EQUAL WEIGHT ETF

39.32

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 51.60 · ROC 2.72% · RS 6.82

8 Dec 2023

Entry

ARKW CBOE · ARK NEXT GENERATION INTERNET ETF

70.80

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 64.20 · ROC 4.39% · RS 22.92

8 Dec 2023

Exit

EWH NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC MSCI HONG KONG ETF

14.36

20% entry drawdown

-20.73%

Entry 3 Mar 2023 18.11

8 Dec 2023

Entry

KBE NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P BANK ETF

40.41

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 61.07 · ROC 2.50% · RS 0.04

8 Dec 2023

Exit

LABD NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BEAR 3X ETF

132.55

20% entry drawdown

-23.75%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 173.85

8 Dec 2023

Entry

OGIG NYSEARCA · ALPS - O SHARES GLOBAL INTERNET GIANTS ETF

34.81

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 54.19 · ROC 2.79% · RS 7.18

8 Dec 2023

Entry

SMHB NYSE · UBS AG London Branch

4.14

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 47.30 · ROC 4.90% · RS 9.47

8 Dec 2023

Entry

XDAT CBOE · FRANKLIN EXPONENTIAL DATA ETF

20.87

Trend inclusion

5 signals MA 78.72 · ROC 2.99% · RS 9.04

1 Dec 2023

Exit

JDST NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY JUNIOR GOLD MINERS INDEX BEAR 2X ETF

948.00

20% entry drawdown

-25.53%

Entry 27 Oct 2023 1272.92

24 Nov 2023

Entry

GGRW NYSEARCA · GABELLI ETFS TR GABELLI GROWTH INNOVATORS ETF

20.25

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 44.79 · ROC 2.01% · RS 5.81

17 Nov 2023

Entry

LABD NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BEAR 3X ETF

173.85

Trend inclusion

7 signals MA 69.10 · ROC 4.09% · RS 2.24

10 Nov 2023

Entry

SMN NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT MATERIALS

36.40

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 63.52 · ROC 1.21% · RS 1.03

10 Nov 2023

Entry

YANG NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY FTSE CHINA BEAR 3X ETF

213.11

Trend inclusion

5 signals MA 57.84 · ROC 2.93% · RS 4.76

3 Nov 2023

Exit

EPV NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT FTSE EUROPE

48.29

Reversal Danger Warning

-10.14%

Entry 27 Oct 2023 53.74

27 Oct 2023

Entry

EPV NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT FTSE EUROPE

53.74

Trend inclusion

4 signals MA 88.09 · ROC 0.43% · RS 11.93