View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 931-960 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
31 Mar 2023
Entry
QQH NYSEARCA · NORTHERN LIGHTS FUND TRUST III HCM DEFENDER 100 INDEX ETF
39.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 24.43 · ROC 0.19% · RS 1.73
31 Mar 2023
Entry
ROBT NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST NASDAQ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND ROBOTICS ETF
42.25
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 26.46 · ROC 0.28% · RS 0.17
31 Mar 2023
Entry
TECB NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST ISHARES US TECH BREAKTHROUGH MULTISECTR
32.89
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 46.86 · ROC 0.40% · RS 7.69
31 Mar 2023
Entry
XNTK NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR NYSE TECHNOLOGY ETF
119.97
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 33.36 · ROC 0.32% · RS 7.70
24 Mar 2023
Exit
BBC NYSEARCA · VIRTUS BIOTECH CLINICAL TRIALS ETF
20.73
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 27.34
24 Mar 2023
Entry
FLTB NYSEARCA · FIDELITY MERRIMACK STREET TRUST LTD TERM BF ETF
42.78
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 30.65 · ROC 0.03% · RS 0.91
24 Mar 2023
Entry
LDUR NYSEARCA · PIMCO ETF TRUST ENHANCED LOW DURATION ACTVE EXCH TRD FD
82.26
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 42.21 · ROC 0.05% · RS 0.53
24 Mar 2023
Entry
PWZ NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II CALIF AMT-FREE MUN BD ETF
22.15
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 34.48 · ROC 0.00% · RS 1.81
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SCHO NYSEARCA · SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR SHORT-TERM US TREASURY ETF
21.47
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 54.79 · ROC 0.04% · RS 0.92
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SPTS NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR PORTFOLIO SHORT TERM TREASURY ETF
25.78
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 53.47 · ROC 0.04% · RS 0.90
24 Mar 2023
Entry
TSI NYSE · TCW Strategic Income Fund Inc
3.74
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 40.55 · ROC 0.43% · RS 1.45
17 Mar 2023
Entry
BITO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES BITCOIN ETF
4.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 32.74 · ROC 0.23% · RS 15.62
17 Mar 2023
Entry
BTF NASDAQ · COINSHARES BITCOIN AND ETHER ETF
11.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 32.31 · ROC 0.36% · RS 11.09
17 Mar 2023
Exit
EDF NYSE · Virtus Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income Fund
2.52
20% entry drawdown
-21.42%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 3.21
17 Mar 2023
Entry
FTSD NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN ETF TR SHORT DURATION U S GOVERNMENT ETF
78.08
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 40.83 · ROC 0.02% · RS 2.38
17 Mar 2023
Exit
MIDU NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY MID CAP BULL 3X ETF
30.41
20% entry drawdown
-24.98%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 40.54
17 Mar 2023
Exit
UMDD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRAPRO MIDCAP400
15.43
20% entry drawdown
-25.12%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 20.61
10 Mar 2023
Entry
ACP NYSE · abrdn Income Credit Strategies Fund
4.13
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.60 · ROC 0.21% · RS 2.55
10 Mar 2023
Exit
BNKU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG BANKS 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
20.72
20% entry drawdown
-37.82%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 33.32
10 Mar 2023
Entry
CLSE CBOE · CONVERGENCE LONG/SHORT EQUITY ETF
14.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.88 · ROC 0.15% · RS 2.58
10 Mar 2023
Entry
CVAR CBOE · CULTIVAR ETF
21.73
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 35.95 · ROC 0.28% · RS 0.66
10 Mar 2023
Entry
DVYE NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC EMERGING MARKETS DIV ETF
18.40
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 13.14 · ROC 0.34% · RS 0.18
10 Mar 2023
Entry
DWX NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF
29.01
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 35.30 · ROC 0.07% · RS 2.59
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FLTW NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR FTSE TAIWAN ETF
33.15
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 30.01 · ROC 0.23% · RS 4.42
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FMY NYSE · First Trust Mortgage Income Fund
8.98
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 46.12 · ROC 0.13% · RS 3.08
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FPAG CBOE · FPA GLOBAL EQUITY ETF
20.37
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 33.07 · ROC 0.26% · RS 3.28
10 Mar 2023
Entry
HEQT NYSEARCA · SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS SIMPLIFY HEDGED EQUITY ETF
21.33
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 28.75 · ROC 0.14% · RS 3.12
10 Mar 2023
Entry
ISCB NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR SMALL-CAP ETF
44.06
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 29.99 · ROC 0.11% · RS 0.03
10 Mar 2023
Entry
JQC NYSE · Nuveen Credit Strategies Income Fund
3.47
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 38.30 · ROC 0.22% · RS 3.37
10 Mar 2023
Entry
LSAT NYSEARCA · TWO RDS SHARED TRUST LEADERSHARES ALPHAFACTOR TACTICAL FO ETF
29.97
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 25.09 · ROC 0.49% · RS 0.50