Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
233.47
Total Return
133.47%
CAGR
27.35% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+6.46%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.81 Sortino 3.02
Current Holdings
27
Transactions
1323 Avg 377.2/yr · 31.4/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
648 Stop 20.8% · Warning 79.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
0
No new entries last week.

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
69.12 20% entry drawdown · -24.91%

Live Book

Current Holdings

27 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
33.27
13.48%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.89
60.72%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
25.29
-3.88%
4
71.09
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
5.56
-7.95%
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
17.48
-5.92%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
59.07
5.42%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
24.12
-6.13%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.71
3.30%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
22.83
5.27%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
16.03
-11.88%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
18.20
34.14%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.76
0.85%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.49
-10.02%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
33.28
16.12%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.19
-4.76%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
57.82
-13.73%
4
73.50
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.23
-12.17%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
49.00
-9.20%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.14
-5.07%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.54
-7.87%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.83
0.28%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.54
-13.97%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
18.08
-0.35%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
23.72
3.81%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
19.58
-9.92%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
14.59
1.32%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
23.09
3.96%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1141-1170 of 1323
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Feb 2023
Entry
VLT NYSE · Invesco High Income Trust II
7.56
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 81.75 · ROC 1.21% · RS 1.90
17 Feb 2023
Entry
VPL NYSEARCA · VANGUARD INTL EQUITY INDEX FUND INC FTSE PACIFIC ETF
60.83
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 71.36 · ROC 1.29% · RS 1.45
17 Feb 2023
Entry
XCEM NYSEARCA · COLUMBIA ETF TR II COLUMBIA EM CORE EX CHINA ETF
25.10
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 52.10 · ROC 1.48% · RS 0.25
10 Feb 2023
Entry
AVEM NYSEARCA · AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS EMERGING MKTS EQUITY ETF USD
48.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.73 · ROC 1.11% · RS 0.67
10 Feb 2023
Entry
BBSC CBOE · JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF
55.15
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 77.14 · ROC 1.62% · RS 3.05
10 Feb 2023
Entry
CEW NYSEARCA · WISDOMTREE TRUST EMERGING CURRENCY STRATEGY FUND
15.62
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 97.39 · ROC 0.86% · RS 0.96
10 Feb 2023
Entry
DEEF NYSEARCA · DBX ETF TRUST XTRACKERS FTSE DEV EX US MULTIFACTOR ETF
23.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.28 · ROC 1.01% · RS 0.69
10 Feb 2023
Entry
DGP NYSE · Deutsche Bank AG London
38.61
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 48.97 · ROC 1.48% · RS 0.18
10 Feb 2023
Entry
DGRE NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE EMERGING MARKETS QUALITY DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND
21.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.43 · ROC 1.00% · RS 1.68
10 Feb 2023
Entry
DSTX NYSE · DISTILLATE INTERNATIONAL FUNDAMENTAL STABILITY & VALUE ETF
20.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.70 · ROC 1.32% · RS 2.77
10 Feb 2023
Entry
EAOA CBOE · ISHARES ESG AWARE AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION ETF
27.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.27 · ROC 0.82% · RS 0.17
10 Feb 2023
Entry
EAPR NYSEARCA · INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST EMERGING MARKETS POWER BUFFER ETF APRIL
24.03
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 97.19 · ROC 0.62% · RS 0.76
10 Feb 2023
Entry
EDF NYSE · Virtus Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income Fund
3.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.90 · ROC 4.13% · RS 15.63
10 Feb 2023
Entry
EFAV CBOE · ISHARES MSCI EAFE MIN VOL FACTOR ETF
58.67
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.29 · ROC 0.73% · RS 0.36
10 Feb 2023
Entry
EFNL CBOE · ISHARES MSCI FINLAND ETF
33.60
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 64.11 · ROC 1.73% · RS 3.58
10 Feb 2023
Entry
EWY NYSEARCA · ISHARES INC MSCI SOUTH KOREA ETF
58.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.72 · ROC 1.50% · RS 1.38
10 Feb 2023
Entry
FCAL NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST CALIFORNIA MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME ETF
44.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.99 · ROC 0.43% · RS 1.47
10 Feb 2023
Entry
FLKR NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR FTSE SOUTH KOREA ETF
19.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.42 · ROC 1.41% · RS 1.37
10 Feb 2023
Entry
FPA NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST ASIA PACIFIC EX-JAPAN ALPHADEX FUND
23.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.46 · ROC 1.37% · RS 2.17
10 Feb 2023
Entry
GF NYSE · New Germany Fund Inc
8.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.20 · ROC 1.79% · RS 4.24
10 Feb 2023
Entry
GWX NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P INTERNATIONAL SMALL CAP ETF
28.83
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 81.83 · ROC 1.40% · RS 1.58
10 Feb 2023
Entry
IDHQ NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II S&P INTL DEV QUALITY ETF
24.04
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.74 · ROC 1.62% · RS 2.87
10 Feb 2023
Entry
IEUS NASDAQ · ISHARES MSCI EUROPE SMALL-CAP ETF
48.39
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 95.34 · ROC 1.78% · RS 6.04
10 Feb 2023
Entry
ISVL CBOE · ISHARES INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPED SMALL CAP VALUE FACTOR ETF
28.29
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 96.76 · ROC 1.89% · RS 4.53
10 Feb 2023
Entry
IWP NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST RUSSELL MID-CAP GROWTH ETF
89.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.24 · ROC 1.46% · RS 2.55
10 Feb 2023
Entry
KF NYSE · Korea Fund Inc
22.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.22 · ROC 1.94% · RS 3.67
10 Feb 2023
Entry
KWEB NYSEARCA · KRANESHARES TRUST CSI CHINA INTERNET ETF
28.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.71 · ROC 0.94% · RS 7.61
10 Feb 2023
Entry
MDEV CBOE · FIRST TRUST INDXX MEDICAL DEVICES ETF
19.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.80 · ROC 1.14% · RS 0.77
10 Feb 2023
Entry
NAIL NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X ETF
43.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.31 · ROC 6.24% · RS 23.49
10 Feb 2023
Entry
NXP NYSE · Nuveen Select Tax-Free Income Portfolio
12.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.27 · ROC 0.97% · RS 4.79