View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 91-120 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 May 2026
Exit
AVEM NYSEARCA · AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS EMERGING MKTS EQUITY ETF USD
95.12
Reversal Risk Warning
94.99%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 48.78
8 May 2026
Exit
BOTZ NASDAQ · GLOBAL X ROBOTICS & ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ETF
41.43
Reversal Risk Warning
77.49%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 23.34
8 May 2026
Exit
CLSE CBOE · CONVERGENCE LONG/SHORT EQUITY ETF
33.01
Reversal Risk Warning
130.20%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 14.34
8 May 2026
Exit
DFAS NYSEARCA · DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST US SMALL CAP ETF
77.68
Reversal Risk Warning
52.82%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 50.83
8 May 2026
Exit
DGRE NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE EMERGING MARKETS QUALITY DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND
39.93
Reversal Risk Warning
87.67%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 21.27
8 May 2026
Exit
EEMA NASDAQ · ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ASIA ETF
115.97
Reversal Risk Warning
83.49%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 63.20
8 May 2026
Exit
EMMF NYSEARCA · WISDOMTREE TRUST EMERGING MARKETS MULTIFACTOR FUND
37.79
Reversal Risk Warning
90.89%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 19.80
8 May 2026
Exit
FBCG CBOE · FIDELITY BLUE CHIP GROWTH ETF
60.70
Reversal Risk Warning
142.49%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 25.03
8 May 2026
Exit
FDEM CBOE · FIDELITY EMERGING MARKETS MULTIFACTOR ETF
36.46
Reversal Risk Warning
82.35%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 19.99
8 May 2026
Exit
FDRV CBOE · Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF
19.85
Reversal Risk Warning
35.11%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 14.69
8 May 2026
Exit
FFLG CBOE · FIDELITY FUNDAMENTAL LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF
33.67
Reversal Risk Warning
131.26%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 14.56
8 May 2026
Exit
FLAX NYSEARCA · FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ETF TR FRANKLIN FTSE ASIA EX JAPAN ETF
36.73
Reversal Risk Warning
85.20%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 19.83
8 May 2026
Exit
GMF NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR S&P EMERGING ASIA PACIFIC ETF
154.55
Reversal Risk Warning
62.70%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 94.99
8 May 2026
Exit
HFGO CBOE · HARTFORD LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF
29.09
Reversal Risk Warning
115.59%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 13.49
8 May 2026
Exit
ILCG NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR GROWTH ETF
114.73
Reversal Risk Warning
111.32%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 54.29
8 May 2026
Exit
ISCB NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR SMALL-CAP ETF
71.42
Reversal Risk Warning
62.09%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 44.06
8 May 2026
Exit
ITAN NYSEARCA · EA SERIES TRUST SPARKLINE INTANGIBLE VALUE ETF
40.51
Reversal Risk Warning
92.91%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 21.00
8 May 2026
Exit
IWO NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST RUSSELL 2000 GROWTH ETF
368.56
Reversal Risk Warning
62.74%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 226.47
8 May 2026
Exit
JEMA NASDAQ · JPMorgan ActiveBuilders Emerging Markets Equity ETF
62.32
Reversal Risk Warning
87.78%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 33.19
8 May 2026
Exit
JIG NYSEARCA · JP MORGAN ETF TRUST INTERNATIONAL GROWTH ETF
83.93
Reversal Risk Warning
53.30%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 54.75
8 May 2026
Exit
JSTC NYSEARCA · TIDAL ETF TRUST ADASINA SOCIAL JUSTICE ALL CAP GBL ETF
21.85
Reversal Risk Warning
43.49%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 15.23
8 May 2026
Exit
MFEM NYSEARCA · PIMCO EQUITY SERIES RAFI DYNMC MULT FACTR EMRNG MKTS EQT ETF
28.92
Reversal Risk Warning
86.12%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 15.54
8 May 2026
Exit
OALC NYSEARCA · UNIFIED SERIES TRUST ONEASCENT LARGE CAP CORE ETF
39.55
Reversal Risk Warning
88.21%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 21.01
8 May 2026
Exit
PGRO NYSEARCA · PUTNAM ETF TR PUTNAM FOCUSED LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF
47.42
Reversal Risk Warning
106.43%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 22.97
8 May 2026
Exit
QPX NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST ADVISORSHARES Q DYNAMIC GROWTH ETF
48.02
Reversal Risk Warning
93.16%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 24.86
8 May 2026
Exit
QQH NYSEARCA · NORTHERN LIGHTS FUND TRUST III HCM DEFENDER 100 INDEX ETF
83.95
Reversal Risk Warning
114.76%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 39.09
8 May 2026
Exit
QQQM NASDAQ · INVESCO NASDAQ 100 ETF
292.48
Reversal Risk Warning
127.81%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 128.39
8 May 2026
Exit
ROAM NYSEARCA · LATTICE STRATEGIES TR HARTFORD MULTIFACTOR EMERGING MARKTS ETF
35.32
Reversal Risk Warning
100.76%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 17.59
8 May 2026
Exit
ROBO NYSEARCA · EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS TRUST ROBO GLOBAL ROBOTICS & AUTO INDX ETF
86.58
Reversal Risk Warning
65.15%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 52.43
8 May 2026
Exit
SFYF NYSEARCA · TIDAL ETF TRUST SOFI SOCIAL 50 ETF
61.93
Reversal Risk Warning
150.76%
Entry 26 May 2023 24.70