View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 121-150 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 May 2026
Exit
SHE NYSEARCA · STATE STREET SPDR MSCI USA GENDER DIVERSITY ETF
150.34
Reversal Risk Warning
93.23%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 77.80
8 May 2026
Exit
SSO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULT S&P 500
66.09
Reversal Risk Warning
166.74%
Entry 5 May 2023 24.78
8 May 2026
Exit
THRO NYSEARCA · ISHARES U.S. THEMATIC ROTATION ACTIVE ETF
42.26
Reversal Risk Warning
99.98%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 21.13
8 May 2026
Exit
TLTE NYSEARCA · FLEXSHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR EMERG MKTS FACTOR TILT IDX
78.33
Reversal Risk Warning
78.01%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 44.00
8 May 2026
Exit
USXF NASDAQ · ISHARES ESG ADVANCED MSCI USA ETF
65.86
Reversal Risk Warning
113.26%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 30.88
8 May 2026
Exit
VPL NYSEARCA · VANGUARD INTL EQUITY INDEX FUND INC FTSE PACIFIC ETF
113.89
Reversal Risk Warning
87.21%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 60.83
8 May 2026
Exit
VSGX CBOE · VANGUARD ESG INTERNATIONAL STOCK ETF ETF SHARES
80.18
Reversal Risk Warning
69.72%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 47.25
8 May 2026
Exit
VTWG NASDAQ · VANGUARD RUSSELL 2000 GROWTH INDEX FUND ETF SHARES
269.13
Reversal Risk Warning
63.47%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 164.64
8 May 2026
Exit
VUG NYSEARCA · VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS VANGUARD GROWTH ETF
86.74
Reversal Risk Warning
112.61%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 40.80
1 May 2026
Exit
DFUS NYSEARCA · DIMENSIONAL U.S. EQUITY MARKET ETF
78.29
Reversal Risk Warning
87.84%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 41.68
1 May 2026
Exit
EFNL CBOE · ISHARES MSCI FINLAND ETF
54.97
Reversal Risk Warning
63.61%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 33.60
1 May 2026
Exit
FFSM CBOE · FIDELITY FUNDAMENTAL SMALL-MID CAP ETF
35.59
Reversal Risk Warning
68.96%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 21.07
1 May 2026
Exit
ILIT NASDAQ · ISHARES LITHIUM MINERS AND PRODUCERS ETF
22.85
Reversal Risk Warning
119.87%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 10.39
1 May 2026
Exit
LEXI NASDAQ · ALEXIS PRACTICAL TACTICAL ETF
38.39
Reversal Risk Warning
67.09%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 22.98
1 May 2026
Exit
LITP NASDAQ · Sprott Lithium Miners ETF
17.60
Reversal Risk Warning
130.52%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 7.63
1 May 2026
Exit
NUGO NYSEARCA · NUSHARES ETF TRUST GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES ETF
41.53
Reversal Risk Warning
109.87%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 19.79
1 May 2026
Exit
PBD NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II GLOBAL CLEAN ENERGY ETF
20.92
Reversal Risk Warning
56.50%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 13.37
24 Apr 2026
Exit
BIBL NYSEARCA · NORTHERN LIGHTS FUND TRUST IV INSPIRE 100 ETF
53.09
Reversal Risk Warning
75.88%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 30.19
24 Apr 2026
Exit
DBC NYSE · Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
29.86
Reversal Risk Warning
40.43%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 21.26
24 Apr 2026
Exit
PDBC NASDAQ · INVESCO OPTIMUM YIELD DIVERSIFIED COMMODITY STRATEGY NO K-1 ETF
17.79
Reversal Risk Warning
38.68%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 12.83
24 Apr 2026
Exit
QDPL NYSEARCA · PACER FDS TR METAURUS US LRG CAP DIV MUTIPLER 400 ETF
43.63
Reversal Risk Warning
78.26%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 24.47
24 Apr 2026
Exit
QVML NYSEARCA · INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II S&P 500 QVM MULTI FACTOR ETF
42.07
Reversal Risk Warning
84.75%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 22.77
24 Apr 2026
Exit
TSPA NYSEARCA · T ROWE PRICE EXCHANGE TRD FDS INC US EQUITY RESEARCH ETF
45.20
Reversal Risk Warning
86.75%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 24.20
17 Apr 2026
Exit
ACLC NYSEARCA · AMERICAN CENTURY LARGE CAP EQUITY ETF
80.79
Reversal Risk Warning
66.86%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 48.41
17 Apr 2026
Exit
ACVF NYSEARCA · ETF OPPORTUNITIES TR AMERN CONSERVATIVE VALUES ETF
51.55
Reversal Risk Warning
72.46%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 29.89
17 Apr 2026
Exit
AIBD NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY AI AND BIG DATA BEAR 2X ETF
7.05
20% entry drawdown
-34.80%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 10.81
17 Apr 2026
Exit
AMZD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY AMZN BEAR 1X SHARES
9.12
20% entry drawdown
-20.78%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 11.51
17 Apr 2026
Exit
APRZ CBOE · TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (APRIL) ETF
38.24
Reversal Risk Warning
61.51%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 23.67
17 Apr 2026
Exit
ASHR NYSEARCA · DBX ETF TRUST XTRACKERS HARVST CSI 300 A SHARES ETF
34.78
Reversal Risk Warning
29.43%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 26.87
17 Apr 2026
Exit
BATT NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY ETF TRUST AMPLIFY LITHIUM & BATTERY TECHNOLOGY ETF
17.11
Reversal Risk Warning
78.37%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 9.59