View US Stock Index

Signal Validation

US ETF Trend Performance Index

US ETFs with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

US ETFs
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
237.04
Total Return
137.04%
CAGR
28.07% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+7.49%/yr Beats ^GSPC on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 1.85 Sortino 3.10
Current Holdings
28
Transactions
1322 Avg 379.0/yr · 31.6/mo · 7.3/wk
Exit Mix
647 Stop 20.7% · Warning 79.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for US ETFs. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active US ETFs only. Equities, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and ETFs outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

An ETF enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
2
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
26.31 4 signals · MA 68.64 · ROC 3.09% · RS 14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
6.04 4 signals · MA 79.97 · ROC 5.26% · RS 32.99

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
1
VXZ CBOE · iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN
50.36 20% entry drawdown · -21.90%

Live Book

Current Holdings

28 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ACES NYSEARCA · ALPS ETF TRUST CLEAN ENERGY ETF
22 Aug 202529.32
34.13
16.41%
6
31.62
0.53%
2.35
BDRY NYSEARCA · AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF
15 Aug 20258.02
12.27
52.99%
4
61.37
3.14%
2.83
BITI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN ETF
3 Jul 202626.31
26.31
New Entry week
4
68.64
3.09%
14.47
BTCZ CBOE · T-REX 2X INVERSE BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF
3 Jul 20266.04
6.04
New Entry week
4
79.97
5.26%
32.99
CORN NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST CORN FD SHS
27 Mar 202618.58
16.86
-9.26%
4
54.95
1.05%
3.18
DOO NASDAQ · WISDOMTREE INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND EX-FINANCIALS FUND N/A
15 Aug 202556.03
57.87
3.27%
4
52.78
0.35%
3.34
EMTY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST DECLINE RETAIL STORE ETF (OST REV SPLIT)
2 May 202525.70
23.72
-7.71%
8
40.21
0.93%
0.71
ETHD NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT ETHER ETF
26 Jun 202692.05
77.58
-15.72%
4
80.97
8.40%
50.11
EUO NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST II PROSHARES ULTRASHORT EURO
3 Apr 202629.73
30.63
3.02%
4
64.45
0.84%
0.49
FXP NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)
27 Mar 202621.69
25.32
16.73%
4
91.00
1.85%
10.24
HDGE NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST RANGER EQUITY BEAR ETF NEW(POST REV SPLT
25 Apr 202518.19
15.97
-12.21%
4
72.40
1.04%
8.87
MRNY NYSEARCA · TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX MRNA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
13 Feb 202613.57
21.03
55.00%
4
92.95
3.30%
17.06
MSFD NASDAQ · DIREXION DAILY MSFT BEAR 1X SHARES
6 Feb 202613.65
13.56
-0.65%
7
85.34
1.81%
2.36
MSOS NYSEARCA · ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE US CANNABIS ETF
19 Jun 20264.99
4.89
-2.00%
4
55.10
3.92%
6.64
NRGU NYSEARCA · MICROSECTORS U.S. BIG OIL 3 LEVERAGED ETNS DUE FEBRUARY 17, 2045
13 Feb 202628.66
29.75
3.80%
5
55.67
5.02%
39.88
OIO NASDAQ · OIO Group.
23 May 20252.30
2.41
4.81%
4
66.80
1.61%
41.35
SBIT NYSEARCA · PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF
26 Jun 202667.02
62.79
-6.31%
4
72.75
6.86%
49.97
SEF NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT FINANCIALS
20 Mar 202634.42
30.27
-12.05%
4
90.18
0.91%
4.33
SETH NYSEARCA · PROSHARES SHORT ETHER ETF
12 Jun 202653.97
51.96
-3.72%
4
56.13
5.52%
21.48
SJB NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT HIGH YIELD
4 Apr 202515.95
15.13
-5.14%
4
52.51
0.20%
13.29
SZK NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT CONSUMER STAPLES
11 Apr 202523.38
21.03
-10.04%
4
16.44
1.13%
2.42
TAGS NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST AGRICULTURAL FD
3 Apr 202624.76
24.06
-2.81%
4
71.56
0.72%
0.28
TAIL CBOE · CAMBRIA TAIL RISK ETF
25 Apr 202512.25
10.62
-13.31%
4
45.25
1.21%
11.14
TILL NYSEARCA · LISTED FUND TRUST TEUCRIUM AGRICULTURL STRATEGY NO K 1 ETF
3 Apr 202618.14
17.47
-3.69%
4
85.45
0.82%
1.49
WEAT NYSEARCA · TEUCRIUM COMMODITY TRUST WHEAT FD NEW (REV SPT)
20 Mar 202622.85
22.41
-1.93%
4
91.52
1.16%
1.79
WEED CBOE · ROUNDHILL CANNABIS ETF
12 Jun 202621.74
21.43
-1.42%
4
48.70
2.76%
10.21
WTIU NYSEARCA · BANK OF MONTREAL MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETNS
6 Feb 202614.40
13.28
-7.78%
4
62.69
2.75%
28.47
YXI NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)
20 Mar 202622.21
24.34
9.60%
4
79.60
0.73%
3.62

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 151-180 of 1322
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Apr 2026
Exit
CEE NYSE · Central and Eastern Europe Fund Inc (The)
20.90
Reversal Risk Warning
127.70%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 9.18
17 Apr 2026
Exit
DEMZ NASDAQ · DEMOCRATIC LARGE CAP CORE ETF
44.22
Reversal Risk Warning
81.09%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 24.42
17 Apr 2026
Exit
DFAC NYSEARCA · DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST US CORE EQUITY 2 ETF
42.09
Reversal Risk Warning
71.29%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 24.57
17 Apr 2026
Exit
DFAU NYSEARCA · DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST US CORE EQUITY MARKET ETF
49.11
Reversal Risk Warning
80.77%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 27.17
17 Apr 2026
Exit
EAOA CBOE · ISHARES ESG AWARE AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION ETF
43.46
Reversal Risk Warning
58.34%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 27.45
17 Apr 2026
Exit
FAZ NYSEARCA · DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BEAR 3X ETF
42.27
20% entry drawdown
-24.44%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 55.94
17 Apr 2026
Exit
FEBZ CBOE · TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (FEBRUARY) ETF
38.77
Reversal Risk Warning
61.80%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 23.96
17 Apr 2026
Exit
FIAT NYSEARCA · YIELDMAX SHORT COIN OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF
18.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.12%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 23.91
17 Apr 2026
Exit
FPXE NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST IPOX EUROPE EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES ETF
34.27
Reversal Risk Warning
68.78%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 20.30
17 Apr 2026
Exit
GLRY NYSEARCA · INSPIRE GROWTH ETF
41.27
Reversal Risk Warning
84.25%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 22.40
17 Apr 2026
Exit
GURU NYSEARCA · GLOBAL X FDS GLOBAL X HEDGE FD TOP EQ HLDGS IDX ETF
66.37
Reversal Risk Warning
87.03%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 35.48
17 Apr 2026
Exit
IDRV NYSEARCA · ISHARES TRUST SELF DRIVING EV AND TECH ETF
43.10
Reversal Risk Warning
36.32%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 31.62
17 Apr 2026
Exit
JANZ CBOE · TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (JANUARY) ETF
39.25
Reversal Risk Warning
58.87%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 24.71
17 Apr 2026
Exit
JUNZ CBOE · TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (JUNE) ETF
33.71
Reversal Risk Warning
56.15%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 21.59
17 Apr 2026
Exit
JUSA NYSEARCA · JPMORGAN U.S. RESEARCH ENHANCED LARGE CAP ETF
64.28
Reversal Risk Warning
43.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 44.84
17 Apr 2026
Exit
KARS NYSEARCA · KRANESHARES TRUST ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND FUTR MBLTY IDX ETF
35.86
Reversal Risk Warning
52.13%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 23.57
17 Apr 2026
Exit
MARZ CBOE · TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (MARCH) ETF
35.25
Reversal Risk Warning
60.59%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 21.95
17 Apr 2026
Exit
MAYZ CBOE · TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (MAY) ETF
34.55
Reversal Risk Warning
55.92%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 22.16
17 Apr 2026
Exit
MIDE NYSEARCA · XTRACKERS S&P MIDCAP 400 SCORED & SCREENED ETF
36.12
Reversal Risk Warning
50.56%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 23.99
17 Apr 2026
Exit
MYY NYSEARCA · PROSHARES TRUST SHORT S&P MID CAP 400 ETF (POST SPLIT)
15.88
20% entry drawdown
-20.01%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 19.85
17 Apr 2026
Exit
NMI NYSE · Nuveen Municipal Income Fund
10.83
Reversal Risk Warning
29.56%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 8.36
17 Apr 2026
Exit
NZAC NASDAQ · SPDR MSCI ACWI CLIMATE PARIS ALIGNED ETF
44.48
Reversal Risk Warning
73.98%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 25.57
17 Apr 2026
Exit
PIZ NASDAQ · INVESCO DORSEY WRIGHT DEVELOPED MARKETS MOMENTUM ETF
56.19
Reversal Risk Warning
99.38%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 28.18
17 Apr 2026
Exit
PRAY NYSEARCA · FIS CHRISTIAN STOCK FUND
34.72
Reversal Risk Warning
62.06%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 21.42
17 Apr 2026
Exit
QDEC CBOE · FT VEST NASDAQ-100 BUFFER ETF - DECEMBER
33.76
Reversal Risk Warning
63.23%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 20.68
17 Apr 2026
Exit
QTAP CBOE · Innovator Growth Accelerated Plus ETF - April
49.19
Reversal Risk Warning
83.94%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 26.74
17 Apr 2026
Exit
QTOC CBOE · Innovator Growth Accelerated Plus ETF - October
35.97
Reversal Risk Warning
68.96%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 21.29
17 Apr 2026
Exit
REMX NYSEARCA · VANECK RARE EARTH AND STRATEGIC METALS ETF
101.63
Reversal Risk Warning
88.74%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 53.85
17 Apr 2026
Exit
RFEM NASDAQ · FIRST TRUST RIVERFRONT DYNAMIC EMERGING MARKETS ETF
90.87
Reversal Risk Warning
81.54%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 50.05
17 Apr 2026
Exit
SPBC NASDAQ · SIMPLIFY US EQUITY PLUS BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF
45.96
Reversal Risk Warning
108.15%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 22.08