SMBS Elliott Wave Cycles
SCHWAB MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES ETF
- Week Ending
- 10 Jul 2026
- O
- 25.26
- H
- 25.33
- L
- 25.14
- C
- 25.21
From Structure To Opportunity
The top panel shows the weekly share price against trend and Fair Value. The wave labels are a map of the current swing structure, not a promise of what comes next.
Cycle Pressure and Hurst Rhythm help you judge whether the share is acting as if pressure is building, easing, or lining up into a more useful window.
Market Activity, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, and Rate of Change are confirmation panels. Cleaner agreement means the setup deserves more research time.
Scenario
Hurst crest risk. The count is a scenario map, not a forecast; the useful question is whether cycle timing and confirmation evidence agree with the structure.
- Hurst rhythm shows a crest cluster.
- Hurst risk alignment is elevated.
- Market Dynamics is negative.
Wave, Cycle, And Confirmation
Weekly close, trend, Fair Value, swing structure, cycle pressure, Hurst rhythm, Market Activity, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, and Rate of Change.
Hurst Rhythm
Several market rhythms are shown together. The values are timing readings, not price targets.
| Nominal Cycle | Phase | Value | Amplitude | Since Trough | Trough Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10w | Rising | 0.33 | 0.55 | 5w | 5w |
| 20w | Rising | -0.05 | 1.21 | 5w | 5w |
| 40w | Falling | 0.15 | 3.12 | 3w | 3w |
| 80w | Cresting | 1.01 | 3.30 | - | - |
Recent Pivots
Recent turning points help describe the current swing structure.
| Date | Type | Price | Move | Weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-22 | Low | 23.33 | - | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | High | 25.21 | 8.1% | 85 |