🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · CBOE

FBTC

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund

Crypto-linked · Unclassified · Unclassified

Risk watch
Country Radar Open Chart
Recent price path FBTC recent weekly close path 55 USD 12 Jun 2026
Weekly Return 5.5% latest completed week
4-Week Return -19.6% short momentum
Trend Gap -18.3% Trend negative
Fair Gap -23.4% vs fair value
Volume 1.1x 22.9M latest
Market Dynamics 0.30 positive
Relative Strength -38.26 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity -15.2 composite radar score
Risk 35.1 -48.4% drawdown · 4.8% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
FBTC weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
FBTC Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

High risk score

Risk is elevated; weak trend or recent selling pressure is dominating the ETF tape.

Weak trend, selling pressure, or tactical exposure is elevated.

FBTC sits in Crypto-linked, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved 5.5%; the four-week move is -19.6%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is negative, volume is running at 1.1x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • Recovering from a weaker base with improving pressure
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • High weekly volatility raises position risk
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 DECO · NASDAQ SPDR GALAXY DIGITAL ASSET ECOSYSTEM ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 5.3% 4W 15.4% Vol 2.2x 5.3% 2 WGMI · NASDAQ COINSHARES BITCOIN MINING ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 7.1% 4W 15.3% Vol 1.0x 7.1% 3 HECO · NASDAQ SPDR GALAXY HEDGED DIGITAL ASSET ECOSYSTEM ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 4.5% 4W 14.1% Vol 0.2x 4.5% 4 MNRS · NYSE GRAYSCALE BITCOIN MINERS ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 4.8% 4W 7.1% Vol 0.7x 4.8% 5 MNRS · NYSEARCA GRAYSCALE BITCOIN MINERS ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 4.8% 4W 7.1% Vol 0.7x 4.8% 6 EWN · NYSE ISHARES MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 6.3% 4W 8.2% Vol 3.5x 6.3% 7 EWN · NYSEARCA ISHARES INC MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 6.3% 4W 8.2% Vol 3.5x 6.3% 8 STCE · NYSE SCHWAB CRYPTO THEMATIC ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 6.1% 4W 6.7% Vol 2.0x 6.1% 9 STCE · NYSEARCA SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR CRYPTO THEMATIC ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 6.1% 4W 6.7% Vol 2.0x 6.1% 10 IBLC · NYSE ISHARES BLOCKCHAIN AND TECH ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Crypto-linked Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 6.6% 4W 2.1% Vol 1.4x 6.6%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

17 Oct 2025 Broke below Trend Line 93 USD · -8.7%
24 Oct 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 96 USD · 3.9%
7 Nov 2025 Broke below Trend Line 90 USD · -5.5%
FBTC

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
20 Jun 2025 90 USD 84 USD 67 USD % 0.53 18.92 9.7M
27 Jun 2025 93 USD 84 USD 67 USD 3.6% 0.56 18.05 13.6M
3 Jul 2025 95 USD 85 USD 68 USD 2.3% 0.54 17.68 10.6M
11 Jul 2025 103 USD 85 USD 68 USD 8.1% 0.65 26.15 15.3M
18 Jul 2025 102 USD 86 USD 69 USD -0.7% 0.85 23.52 22.6M
25 Jul 2025 102 USD 86 USD 69 USD -0.5% 0.98 20.22 17.8M
1 Aug 2025 99 USD 87 USD 69 USD -3.2% 1.05 18.26 19.0M
8 Aug 2025 102 USD 87 USD 70 USD 3.0% 0.98 17.84 13.3M
15 Aug 2025 102 USD 88 USD 70 USD 0.4% 0.90 16.14 19.7M
22 Aug 2025 102 USD 88 USD 70 USD -0.2% 0.82 14.61 20.7M
29 Aug 2025 94 USD 88 USD 71 USD -7.3% 0.50 5.52 18.7M
5 Sep 2025 97 USD 89 USD 71 USD 3.1% 0.21 7.53 13.3M
12 Sep 2025 102 USD 89 USD 71 USD 4.8% -0.03 9.98 15.6M
19 Sep 2025 100 USD 90 USD 72 USD -1.5% -0.29 6.21 16.6M
26 Sep 2025 95 USD 91 USD 72 USD -5.2% -0.32 0.40 19.4M
3 Oct 2025 107 USD 92 USD 72 USD 12.6% -0.10 10.82 24.5M
10 Oct 2025 102 USD 92 USD 73 USD -5.1% -0.07 6.96 33.6M
17 Oct 2025 93 USD 93 USD 73 USD -8.7% -0.20 -4.49 41.8M
24 Oct 2025 96 USD 94 USD 73 USD 3.9% -0.23 -3.17 29.9M
31 Oct 2025 96 USD 95 USD 73 USD -0.8% -0.58 -5.05 24.9M
7 Nov 2025 90 USD 95 USD 74 USD -5.5% -0.85 -9.02 37.9M
14 Nov 2025 82 USD 95 USD 74 USD -9.2% -1.02 -17.31 29.2M
21 Nov 2025 74 USD 95 USD 74 USD -10.3% -1.18 -23.99 59.1M
28 Nov 2025 79 USD 95 USD 74 USD 7.3% -1.34 -21.09 23.0M
5 Dec 2025 78 USD 95 USD 74 USD -1.5% -1.44 -22.21 30.3M
12 Dec 2025 79 USD 94 USD 74 USD 1.0% -1.49 -20.61 25.0M
19 Dec 2025 77 USD 94 USD 74 USD -2.5% -1.53 -22.38 34.7M
26 Dec 2025 76 USD 93 USD 74 USD -0.5% -1.55 -23.58 18.4M
2 Jan 2026 78 USD 93 USD 74 USD 2.5% -1.50 -20.50 21.9M
9 Jan 2026 79 USD 92 USD 74 USD 0.5% -1.47 -21.02 25.7M
16 Jan 2026 83 USD 92 USD 74 USD 5.9% -1.30 -15.67 25.7M
23 Jan 2026 78 USD 91 USD 74 USD -6.4% -1.07 -20.35 23.7M
30 Jan 2026 73 USD 91 USD 74 USD -6.3% -1.01 -25.21 30.9M
6 Feb 2026 61 USD 89 USD 74 USD -16.5% -0.93 -36.99 77.7M
13 Feb 2026 60 USD 88 USD 74 USD -1.8% -1.08 -36.83 36.3M
20 Feb 2026 59 USD 86 USD 74 USD -1.5% -1.25 -37.99 22.9M
27 Feb 2026 57 USD 85 USD 74 USD -3.2% -1.29 -39.29 27.3M
6 Mar 2026 59 USD 84 USD 73 USD 3.8% -1.35 -35.31 32.8M
13 Mar 2026 62 USD 82 USD 73 USD 4.5% -1.26 -30.98 27.2M
20 Mar 2026 61 USD 81 USD 73 USD -1.4% -1.17 -30.33 25.2M
27 Mar 2026 57 USD 80 USD 73 USD -6.0% -1.17 -32.59 25.8M
2 Apr 2026 58 USD 78 USD 73 USD 1.5% -1.10 -33.26 22.5M
10 Apr 2026 64 USD 77 USD 73 USD 9.4% -0.90 -29.06 18.7M
17 Apr 2026 67 USD 76 USD 73 USD 5.7% -0.52 -27.77 24.3M
24 Apr 2026 68 USD 75 USD 73 USD 0.2% -0.15 -27.40 18.7M
1 May 2026 68 USD 74 USD 73 USD 1.0% 0.26 -26.73 16.7M
8 May 2026 70 USD 73 USD 73 USD 2.2% 0.52 -26.10 16.1M
15 May 2026 69 USD 72 USD 73 USD -1.4% 0.59 -26.60 16.6M
22 May 2026 66 USD 71 USD 73 USD -4.2% 0.64 -29.43 14.3M
29 May 2026 64 USD 70 USD 73 USD -3.2% 0.60 -31.88 14.5M
5 Jun 2026 52 USD 69 USD 72 USD -17.9% 0.48 -41.89 37.2M
12 Jun 2026 55 USD 68 USD 72 USD 5.5% 0.30 -38.26 22.9M