🇺🇸 United States ETF Radar · NYSE

USO

United States Oil Fund

Commodity · Unclassified · Unclassified

Stable uptrend
Country Radar Open Chart
Recent price path USO recent weekly close path 137 USD 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Return 10.3% latest completed week
4-Week Return 29.6% short momentum
Trend Gap 23.8% Trend positive
Fair Gap 69.0% vs fair value
Volume 1.2x 41.3M latest
Market Dynamics -0.73 negative and improving
Relative Strength 35.35 vs country ETF tape
Opportunity 62.1 composite radar score
Risk 0.0 -7.8% drawdown · 7.2% volatility
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, Fair Value

12 months
USO weekly price action
Price Trend Line Fair Value
Market Dynamics

Pressure, strength, volume

12 months
USO Market Dynamics and relative strength
Market Dynamics Relative Strength Volume
Signal View

What it shows

Above Trend Line Market Dynamics improving Positive relative strength

Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction.

Trend, drawdown, and follow-through are constructive.

USO sits in Commodity, so read it as a United States exposure first and a single ETF second.

The latest week moved 10.3%; the four-week move is 29.6%, which helps separate one-week noise from actual follow-through.

Trend is positive, volume is running at 1.2x, and Market Dynamics is not showing a buy signal.

Opportunity Signals

What could be improving

  • Price is above fair value with a positive trend setup
  • Recovering from a weaker base with improving pressure
  • Relative strength is positive versus its ETF peer tape
  • Composite opportunity score is in the stronger part of the radar
Risk Signals

What needs caution

  • High weekly volatility raises position risk
  • Market Dynamics is still negative
Peers

Same category

Closest category peers ranked by the current radar score.

10 peers
1 BWET · NYSEARCA AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE TANKER SHIPPING ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 5.5% 4W 87.7% Vol 1.2x 5.5% 2 DBO · NYSEARCA INVESCO DB MULTI-SECTOR COMM TR OIL FD ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 10.5% 4W 29.9% Vol 0.7x 10.5% 3 USE · NYSEARCA USCF ETF TRUST ENERGY COMMODITY STRTGEY ABSOLUTE RETURN 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 8.2% 4W 29.0% Vol 8.3x 8.2% 4 UCO · NYSEARCA PROSHARES TRUST II ULTA BLOMBERG CRUD OIL(POST REV SPLT) 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 7.1% 4W 35.5% Vol 0.8x 7.1% 5 BNO · NYSE United States Brent Crude Oil Fund 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 8.0% 4W 30.4% Vol 0.7x 8.0% 6 CRAK · NYSEARCA VANECK ETF TR VANECK OIL REFINERS ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 1.6% 4W 21.2% Vol 3.0x 1.6% 7 UGA · NYSE United States Gasoline Fund LP 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 2.8% 4W 22.6% Vol 1.2x 2.8% 8 USOY · NASDAQ DEFIANCE OIL ENHANCED OPTIONS INCOME ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 7.2% 4W 21.9% Vol 1.0x 7.2% 9 OILK · CBOE PROSHARES K-1 FREE CRUDE OIL STRATEGY ETF 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Trend and recent returns are aligned, so demand is still moving in the same direction. Week 3.6% 4W 17.2% Vol 0.7x 3.6% 10 OILU · NYSE Bank of Montreal 🇺🇸 United States · Commodity Balanced read: watch trend, volume, and four-week follow-through for the next clue. Week 12.1% 4W 35.9% Vol 1.0x 12.1%
Latest Event

Historical signal events

Recent Trend Line crossings and Market Dynamics buy signals from the weekly history.

8 Aug 2025 Broke below Trend Line 73 USD · -5.4%
22 Aug 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 75 USD · 2.5%
5 Sep 2025 Broke below Trend Line 73 USD · -3.0%
12 Sep 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 73 USD · 0.9%
3 Oct 2025 Broke below Trend Line 72 USD · -6.9%
24 Oct 2025 Crossed above Trend Line 73 USD · 7.6%
7 Nov 2025 Broke below Trend Line 71 USD · -1.8%
23 Jan 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 74 USD · 3.2%
30 Jan 2026 Market Dynamics buy signal 80 USD · 7.5%
20 Feb 2026 Market Dynamics buy signal 81 USD · 6.1%
3 Jul 2026 Broke below Trend Line 104 USD · -1.4%
10 Jul 2026 Crossed above Trend Line 109 USD · 4.5%
USO

Recent weekly tape

Week Close Trend Line Fair Value Weekly Return Market Dynamics RS Volume
1 Aug 2025 77 USD 74 USD 72 USD % 0.58 -1.96 27.6M
8 Aug 2025 73 USD 73 USD 72 USD -5.4% 0.49 -9.07 29.5M
15 Aug 2025 73 USD 73 USD 72 USD -0.7% 0.36 -10.21 24.5M
22 Aug 2025 75 USD 73 USD 72 USD 2.5% 0.29 -7.92 20.6M
29 Aug 2025 75 USD 73 USD 72 USD 0.3% 0.15 -7.39 16.7M
5 Sep 2025 73 USD 73 USD 72 USD -3.0% -0.01 -10.19 21.2M
12 Sep 2025 73 USD 73 USD 72 USD 0.9% -0.15 -10.56 23.1M
19 Sep 2025 74 USD 73 USD 72 USD 0.3% -0.35 -11.13 23.2M
26 Sep 2025 77 USD 73 USD 72 USD 4.8% -0.41 -6.52 24.0M
3 Oct 2025 72 USD 73 USD 72 USD -6.9% -0.39 -13.56 33.4M
10 Oct 2025 69 USD 73 USD 72 USD -3.2% -0.45 -13.89 27.6M
17 Oct 2025 68 USD 72 USD 72 USD -2.0% -0.51 -16.81 26.4M
24 Oct 2025 73 USD 72 USD 72 USD 7.6% -0.45 -11.85 47.1M
31 Oct 2025 73 USD 72 USD 72 USD -0.8% -0.50 -12.92 23.3M
7 Nov 2025 71 USD 73 USD 72 USD -1.8% -0.53 -12.83 18.7M
14 Nov 2025 71 USD 73 USD 72 USD 0.2% -0.44 -12.61 19.6M
21 Nov 2025 69 USD 73 USD 72 USD -2.9% -0.63 -13.21 26.4M
28 Nov 2025 71 USD 73 USD 72 USD 2.6% -0.71 -13.94 17.0M
5 Dec 2025 72 USD 73 USD 72 USD 1.2% -0.61 -13.03 22.3M
12 Dec 2025 69 USD 73 USD 72 USD -4.3% -0.64 -16.00 28.0M
19 Dec 2025 68 USD 73 USD 72 USD -1.1% -0.63 -16.72 29.2M
26 Dec 2025 68 USD 73 USD 72 USD 0.7% -0.69 -17.00 13.8M
2 Jan 2026 69 USD 73 USD 72 USD 0.7% -0.88 -15.10 12.3M
9 Jan 2026 71 USD 73 USD 72 USD 2.6% -0.71 -13.69 28.2M
16 Jan 2026 72 USD 72 USD 72 USD 1.2% -0.30 -11.81 43.3M
23 Jan 2026 74 USD 72 USD 72 USD 3.2% 0.21 -8.28 22.2M
30 Jan 2026 80 USD 73 USD 73 USD 7.5% 0.96 -1.50 41.9M
6 Feb 2026 77 USD 73 USD 73 USD -3.2% 1.36 -4.19 49.5M
13 Feb 2026 76 USD 73 USD 73 USD -1.0% 1.44 -3.69 33.7M
20 Feb 2026 81 USD 73 USD 73 USD 6.1% 1.60 1.19 40.8M
27 Feb 2026 82 USD 73 USD 73 USD 1.4% 1.60 3.22 54.0M
6 Mar 2026 109 USD 74 USD 73 USD 32.7% 1.68 38.97 236.7M
13 Mar 2026 120 USD 76 USD 73 USD 10.2% 1.85 54.21 513.5M
20 Mar 2026 121 USD 77 USD 74 USD 1.3% 1.91 57.64 323.5M
27 Mar 2026 124 USD 79 USD 74 USD 2.3% 1.92 63.34 257.0M
3 Apr 2026 138 USD 81 USD 75 USD 11.0% 1.88 73.30 208.6M
10 Apr 2026 125 USD 83 USD 75 USD -9.5% 1.73 50.01 192.1M
17 Apr 2026 116 USD 84 USD 75 USD -7.0% 1.41 32.81 102.9M
24 Apr 2026 132 USD 86 USD 76 USD 14.1% 1.16 49.36 83.9M
1 May 2026 143 USD 88 USD 76 USD 7.9% 0.97 57.54 57.3M
8 May 2026 134 USD 91 USD 77 USD -6.4% 0.78 42.65 59.9M
15 May 2026 148 USD 93 USD 77 USD 11.0% 0.84 55.95 27.3M
22 May 2026 141 USD 95 USD 78 USD -4.9% 0.79 45.44 45.5M
29 May 2026 129 USD 97 USD 78 USD -8.4% 0.57 30.26 31.8M
5 Jun 2026 133 USD 99 USD 79 USD 3.0% 0.40 36.47 28.5M
12 Jun 2026 125 USD 101 USD 79 USD -5.7% 0.05 27.34 42.1M
19 Jun 2026 115 USD 103 USD 79 USD -8.4% -0.36 15.34 24.6M
26 Jun 2026 105 USD 104 USD 80 USD -8.2% -0.64 8.11 28.5M
3 Jul 2026 104 USD 105 USD 80 USD -1.4% -0.91 4.04 12.2M
10 Jul 2026 109 USD 106 USD 80 USD 4.5% -1.03 7.01 33.1M
17 Jul 2026 124 USD 108 USD 80 USD 14.0% -0.95 23.17 39.5M
24 Jul 2026 137 USD 110 USD 81 USD 10.3% -0.73 35.35 41.3M