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Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Probability Fade

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

35.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 35.5%. 24h move +4.0 pts. 7d move -19.0 pts. Data quality 50/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

24h +4.0 pts
7d -19.0 pts
Volume 90K
Quality 50/100